How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg 2 Hertha Berlin 2 -0.9
-1.5
+0.1
-0.1
Bayern Munich 3 Bayer Leverkusen 1 -0.5
-0.5
-0.1
Dortmund 3 Eintracht Frank 1 -0.2
-0.2
Mainz 2 Augsburg 1 -0.1
-0.1
Dusseldorf 2 Hoffenheim 1 +0.1
+0.1
RB Leipzig 3 Hannover 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
B. Monchengladb vs Schalke-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Werder Bremen vs Nurnberg-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Mainz vs Wolfsburg-3.2-0.9+3.9
-7.3-1.6+8.7
+1.2+0.1-1.3
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Wolfsburg vs Freiburg+3.2-1.3-3.1
+7.4-2.5-7.5
-1.3+0.2+1.5
+0.8-0.2-0.9
Schalke vs Bayern Munich+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Bayern Munich vs Augsburg-0.6+0.3+0.5
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Dortmund vs Nurnberg-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.5+0.3+0.4
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.3+0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.5+0.3-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Hertha Berlin vs B. Monchengladb-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.2+0.3*-0.0
Werder Bremen vs Hertha Berlin+0.1+0.2-0.3
*-0.0+0.4-0.2
B. Monchengladb vs Eintracht Frank-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Augsburg vs Werder Bremen*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
Dusseldorf vs Bayer Leverkusen-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Stuttgart vs Dusseldorf+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Eintracht Frank vs RB Leipzig*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.2
Hannover vs Hoffenheim*+0.0+0.2-0.2
Freiburg vs Schalke*+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Wolfsburg finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed2.
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718BundesligaCount
78-100YesYes100No2,000*
7722-4-599.7%Yes1000No706*
7621-6-499.8Yes1000No1,194*
7521-5-599.6Yes1000No1,917*
7420-7-499.3Yes991No3,044*
7320-6-599.1Yes991No4,520*
7220-5-698.6Yes991No6,980*
7119-7-597.9Yes9820No9,899*
7019-6-696.8Yes9730No14,500*
6918-8-595.2Yes9550No20,449*
6818-7-693.0Yes93700No28,321*
6718-6-789.7Yes90100No38,135*
6617-8-685.4Yes851410No50,771*
6517-7-780.3Yes801910No66,530*
6417-6-873.7100.0%7424200No84,537*
6316-8-765.7100.06630400No107,287*
6216-7-856.6100.05736700No133,160*
6116-6-946.6100.0474111100No159,178*
6015-8-836.399.8364417300No189,452*
5915-7-926.199.42644246100No220,676*
5814-9-817.398.217403110200No254,085*
5714-8-910.395.6103336174000No283,955*
5614-7-105.390.152436258100No314,362*
5513-9-92.380.22153231154100No340,628*
5413-8-100.865.41824332492000No361,936*
5313-7-110.246.503142931175100No379,315*
5212-9-100.027.5016203126123000No390,172*
5112-8-110.012.80021025312182000No392,647*
5012-7-120.04.400041428291761000No389,709*
4911-9-11No1.10016183027144100No377,836*
4811-8-12No0.200282130251130000No360,334*
4710-10-11No0.0000210243022920000No336,886*
4610-9-12No0.000031226302071000No309,039*
4510-8-13NoNo00141528291751000.0%278,333*
449-10-12NoNo00161729271441000.0246,473*
439-9-13NoNo000282130251130000.2213,844*
429-8-14NoNo00021024312282000.9181,363*
418-10-13NoNo0014142830185103.3150,583*
408-9-14NoNo001619312812308.9123,333*
398-8-15NoNo0002102533237118.997,667*
387-10-14NoNo001416313214232.576,576*
377-9-15NoNo0018253624547.458,612*
367-8-16NoNo0041735341162.043,785*
356-10-15NoNo001929411974.531,960*
346-9-16NoNo00522442983.922,646*
336-8-17NoNo0215434090.315,646*
325-10-16NoNo019385294.510,830*
315-9-17NoNo05336197.17,105*
305-8-18NoNo03267198.44,584*
295-7-19NoNo02217899.22,962*
284-9-18NoNo1148599.61,934*
274-8-19NoNo0109099.81,047*
264-7-20NoNo694Yes584*
253-9-19NoNo595Yes359*
243-8-20NoNo199Yes183*
233-7-21NoNo298Yes96*
7-22NoNo100Yes1,083*
Total:10.2%39.0%1010109887665543322112.8%7,205,748

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship