"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Stuttgart 1 Wolfsburg 0 -0.6
-3.3
+5.0
-0.9
Wolfsburg 1 Werder Bremen 1 -0.1
-0.6
+0.8
-0.2
Werder Bremen 1 Schalke 04 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.4
Hannover 96 2 Hamburger SV 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Bayern München 4 Mainz 05 0 -0.1
-0.2
-0.2
Hamburger SV 0 Borussia Dortmund 3 -0.1
-0.2
Leipzig 2 Mönchengladbach 2 +0.1
Borussia Dortmund 5 Köln 0 -0.2
-0.5
Mainz 05 2 Hoffenheim 3 -0.1
-0.4
Freiburg 1 Hannover 96 1 +0.1
Hoffenheim 1 Hertha BSC 1 +0.1
Köln 0 Eintracht Frank 1 -0.1
-0.2
Mönchengladbach 2 Stuttgart 0 -0.1
Eintracht Frank 1 Augsburg 2 -0.1
-0.1
Bayer Leverkusen 4 Freiburg 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern München vs Wolfsburg-0.1-0.0+0.2
-1.1-0.2+2.2
+3.8-0.1-6.5
-0.5-0.0+1.0
Borussia Dortmund vs Mönchengladbach-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Hannover 96 vs Köln-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.5*-0.0+1.1
Stuttgart vs Augsburg+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6*-0.0-0.4
Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Mainz 05 vs Hertha BSC+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.4
Leipzig vs Eintracht Frank-0.0+0.1*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Werder Bremen vs Freiburg+0.1-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Wolfsburg finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed2.
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718BundesligaCount
73-92YesYes100No2,642*
7221-4-493.9%Yes946No66*
7120-6-391.6Yes928No131*
7020-5-490.9Yes919No230*
6920-4-586.6Yes87130No426*
6819-6-481.4Yes811800No722*
6719-5-578.1Yes78211No1,254*
6618-7-470.4Yes702720No2,183*
6518-6-563.9Yes643150No3,417*
6418-5-654.2Yes543781No5,557*
6317-7-543.5100.0%43431310No8,674*
6217-6-634.099.8344518300No13,407*
6117-5-724.499.5244525500No20,164*
6016-7-616.398.51640321010No29,541*
5916-6-710.196.210343616300No42,306*
5816-5-85.491.85253724710No59,734*
5715-7-72.684.0317343113300No82,951*
5615-6-81.071.719273421610No112,995*
5514-8-70.355.70418332913300No149,957*
5414-7-80.137.902102633217100No196,014*
5314-6-90.022.1004173129143000No251,451*
5213-8-80.010.300292432239200No316,665*
5113-7-9No3.80031429311751000No390,427*
5013-6-10No1.10016203226123000No470,874*
4912-8-9No0.20002102532218100No556,642*
4812-7-10No0.00014152930165100No650,347*
4712-6-11No0.00017203226112000No738,856*
4611-8-10No0.000021125322171000No825,244*
4511-7-11NoNo00141529301641000.0%906,764*
4410-9-10NoNo0017213226112000.0975,308*
4310-8-11NoNo00021126322061000.01,025,795*
4210-7-12NoNo0014163130143000.21,058,747*
419-9-11NoNo001823332491000.81,071,649*
409-8-12NoNo0003142932174002.51,063,278*
399-7-13NoNo001621342710106.41,029,803*
388-9-12NoNo002122934184013.2982,365*
378-8-13NoNo00162135279123.3912,920*
368-7-14NoNo000213323516235.7832,076*
357-9-13NoNo0017243825549.2741,874*
347-8-14NoNo0031637341062.2645,180*
337-7-15NoNo001932411673.5548,368*
326-9-14NoNo00524462582.4457,355*
316-8-15NoNo00217463589.0369,833*
306-7-16NoNo0111434593.4292,370*
295-9-15NoNo007375696.3225,574*
285-8-16NoNo004316598.0169,750*
275-7-17NoNo02257399.0124,070*
264-9-16NoNo01188199.588,139*
254-8-17NoNo00138699.860,362*
244-7-18NoNo0099199.940,534*
233-9-17NoNo0694100.026,221*
223-8-18NoNo0496100.016,501*
213-7-19NoNo0298100.09,908*
203-6-20NoNo199Yes5,857*
192-8-19NoNo199Yes3,240*
182-7-20NoNo0100Yes1,736*
172-6-21NoNo100Yes845*
162-5-22NoNo0100Yes413*
5-15NoNo100Yes2,916*
Total:0.2%3.2%01122345678991010109619.6%18,622,628

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship