Borussia Dortmund Title Chances 2014-2015
Lost to Augsburg 0-1, title odds unchanged at 0.000002%
16 points 4-4-11
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/30 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | 2. Bundesliga | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Leverkusen 0 Dortmund 0 | *No | -0.0 | -1.8 | +0.1 | ||||
| Dortmund 0 Augsburg 1 | *No | +7.9 | -0.6 | |||||
| Stuttgart 0 Monchengladbach 1 | -0.9 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Freiburg 4 Eintracht 1 | +1.6 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Hoffenheim 1 Werder Bremen 2 | +1.3 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Hertha Berlin 0 Leverkusen 1 | -1.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Hamburger 0 Koln 2 | -0.7 | |||||||
| Paderborn 0 Hamburger 3 | +0.6 | |||||||
| Monchengladbach 1 Freiburg 0 | -0.5 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Werder Bremen 2 Hertha Berlin 0 | +0.5 | |||||||
| Mainz 5 Paderborn 0 | +0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 2/6 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | 2. Bundesliga | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Freiburg vs Dortmund | NoNo+0.0 | +8.8-0.3-15.4 | -0.5-0.0+0.9 | |||||
| Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | +2.8+0.6-0.7 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||||||
| Werder Bremen vs Leverkusen | +0.7+0.1-0.5 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||||||
| Augsburg vs Eintracht | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |||||||
| Hamburger vs Hannover | +1.8-0.3-1.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||||
| Mainz vs Hertha Berlin | -0.9+0.1+2.2 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Koln vs Paderborn | -0.9-0.1+1.9 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dortmund finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | 2. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Bundesliga | Count | |||||
| 61 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.0 | % | 96.8 | % | 0 | 19 | 55 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 514,503 | ||||||||||||||
| 59 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 82.7 | 5 | 36 | 42 | 16 | 2 | No | 243 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 71.0 | 2 | 27 | 42 | 23 | 5 | 1 | No | 503 | |||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 58.8 | 1 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 1 | No | 1,604 | |||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 39.6 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 2 | No | 6,734 | |||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 26.7 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 0 | No | 13,514 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 37 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 40,210 | |||||||||||||||
| 53 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 1 | 0 | No | 100,299 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 43 | 31 | 4 | 0 | No | 203,461 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 51 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 483,810 | * | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 49 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 965,090 | * | |||||||||||||
| 49 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,820,334 | * | ||||||||||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,569,604 | * | |||||||||||||
| 47 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 42 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,185,312 | * | ||||||||||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 39 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 10,501,568 | * | ||||||||||||
| 45 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 17,642,558 | * | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 27,142,037 | * | |||||||||||
| 43 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 41,148,340 | * | |||||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 60,551,226 | * | ||||||||||
| 41 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 83,393,871 | * | |||||||||
| 40 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 112,784,235 | * | ||||||||||
| 39 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 146,919,615 | * | ||||||||||
| 38 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 181,174,122 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 | 218,505,477 | * | |||||||||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 8.3 | 125,182,304 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 | 127,795,099 | * | |||||||||||||
| 35 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 17.4 | 188,467,943 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 18.2 | 90,147,326 | * | |||||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 2 | 33.9 | 202,594,595 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 31.4 | 96,222,858 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 5 | 49.8 | 151,998,334 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 52.6 | 154,782,693 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 38 | 13 | 68.2 | 202,888,233 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 38 | 14 | 68.7 | 96,872,856 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 45 | 26 | 82.4 | 188,729,523 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 44 | 24 | 80.8 | 95,206,004 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 39 | 90.4 | 128,814,864 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 44 | 41 | 91.3 | 127,761,925 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 55 | 96.0 | 219,811,360 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 98.5 | 181,503,684 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 99.5 | 142,126,600 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 99.9 | 104,532,371 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | 73,485,302 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 48,463,311 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | 29,416,011 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | 16,783,365 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 8,807,484 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 4,038,429 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,653,144 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | -18 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 1,277,572 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 23 | 48.9 | % | 3,723,031,460 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:21 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
