Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleAufstiegChance will finish season at seed3.Liga
4/3PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
Rattenball5918-5-52051.6%-3.883.8%-4.9523216001.6-0.09No2.674RB Leipzig
Freiburg56117-5-52934.6-1.472.5-6.535382700001.9-0.08No3.707at FuerthSC Freiburg
NuernbergWFSV 3-05616-8-42513.9+5.243.7+11.414305600002.4+0.18No1.6801 FC. Nuernberg
St. Pauli4613-7-850.00.0-0.000047381031000004.7-0.03No5.547FC St. Pauli
Bochum4411-11-6150.00.0-0.0000463612421000004.8No4.629VfL Bochum
Heidenheim4010-10-85No0.0003122920141073100007.1-0.050.0%6.5451 FC. Heidenheim
Braunschweig3810-8-106NoNo015152019161383100008.1-0.090.0-0.09.559Eintracht Braunschweig
Fuerth37110-7-10-4No0.00015151817151296200008.3-0.070.0-0.07.455FreiburgSpVgg Greuter Fuerth
Union379-10-95NoNo02914171817127200008.9-0.120.0-0.011.5321 FC. Union Berlin
KSCWTSV 1860 3-13810-8-10-4NoNo0026121618181510310009.3+0.930.0-0.18.445Karlsruher SC
LauternWSandhaufen 2-0349-7-12-1NoNo0025811152121115100010.6+0.960.1-1.512.4821. FC Kaiserlautern
SandhaufenLLautern 0-23310-6-12-4NoNo001369132025147200011.2-0.940.3+0.010.452SV Sandhausen
Arminia315-16-7-7NoNo000012481530241240013.03.9-1.713.408Arminia Bielefeld
FSVLNuernberg 0-3297-8-13-17NoNo000000138192723143014.1-0.4817.6+3.114.337FSV Frankfurt
Fortuna287-7-14-13NoNo00000014132232224014.6+0.1526.6-7.715.350Fortuna Düsseldorf
TSV 1860LKSC 1-3255-10-13-15NoNo0000001511223919315.6-0.3760.8+10.116.3381860 Muenchen
Paderborn245-9-14-22NoNo000000002619621016.7+0.0991.1-2.117.283SC Paderborn 07
Duisburg193-10-15-23NoNo0000002118717.8+0.0199.6-0.118.272MSV Duisburg

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/1
Rattenball 3 Bochum 1
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball+13.9
+9.9
+0.2
Freiburg-10.3
-2.8
-0.1
Nuernberg-3.7
-6.9
St. Pauli+0.1
Bochum-0.2
FSV 0 Nuernberg 3
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball-2.5
-3.7
Freiburg-1.7
-5.9
Nuernberg+4.2
+9.6
+0.1
Arminia-0.5
+0.1
FSV+4.5
-0.4
Fortuna-1.5
TSV 1860-1.7
Paderborn-0.5
St. Pauli 0 Union 0
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
St. Pauli-0.0
Union-0.1
KSC 3 TSV 1860 1
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
KSC+0.8
Lautern-0.5
Arminia-1.4
FSV-2.5
Fortuna-5.7
TSV 1860+11.4
-0.4
Paderborn-1.1
Braunschweig 2 Paderborn 1
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Braunschweig+0.6
Fuerth-0.1
Union-0.1
KSC-0.1
Sandhaufen-0.1
Arminia-0.4
FSV-0.8
Fortuna-1.4
TSV 1860-1.1
Paderborn+4.0
-0.2
Lautern 2 Sandhaufen 0
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Lautern-1.4
+0.9
Sandhaufen+0.3
-0.8
FSV+0.2
Fortuna+0.4
TSV 1860+0.4
Duisburg 0 Heidenheim 2
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Heidenheim+0.6
Braunschweig-0.1
Fuerth-0.1
Union-0.1
Fortuna-0.2
TSV 1860-0.2
Duisburg+0.6
-0.1
Arminia 0 Fortuna 0
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Arminia-0.1
-0.3
Fortuna-0.2
-0.0
TSV 1860+0.2
Paderborn+0.1
Fuerth vs FreiburgIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball62.857.143.6
88.085.481.1
1.51.61.8
Freiburg19.027.145.5
57.066.982.2
2.22.11.7
Nuernberg18.115.810.9
55.047.736.7
2.32.42.5
Heidenheim0.0*0.0No
7.37.17.0
Braunschweig8.38.18.1
Fuerth0.0*NoNo
7.38.38.8
Week of 4/8
Fortuna vs RattenballIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball32.442.562.8
70.578.990.8
2.01.81.5
Freiburg47.040.627.2
77.274.270.0
1.81.92.0
Nuernberg20.616.810.0
52.446.839.2
2.32.42.5
Arminia5.44.13.3
13.213.013.0
FSV21.118.216.1
14.314.114.0
Fortuna9.623.533.8
13.814.614.9
TSV 186069.562.357.1
15.815.615.5
Paderborn93.991.789.8
16.816.716.7
Freiburg vs St. PauliHomeDrawAway
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball43.657.162.9
81.185.488.0
1.81.61.5
Freiburg45.527.119.0
82.266.856.9
1.72.12.2
Nuernberg10.915.818.1
36.747.755.0
2.52.42.3
St. Pauli4.94.74.4
HeidenheimNo*0.00.0
7.17.17.2
FuerthNo*0.00.0
Nuernberg vs DuisburgHomeDrawAway
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball48.955.257.2
80.488.391.8
1.71.61.5
Freiburg32.737.238.6
67.579.084.5
2.01.81.8
Nuernberg18.37.64.3
52.132.723.7
2.32.62.7
HeidenheimNo*0.00.0
FuerthNo*0.00.0
Duisburg99.999.698.1
17.917.817.6
TSV 1860 vs FuerthHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Fuerth9.28.67.6
Arminia6.03.62.6
13.113.013.0
FSV23.217.013.9
14.214.114.0
Fortuna35.425.620.8
14.814.614.5
TSV 186041.763.073.2
15.015.716.0
Paderborn93.190.989.7
16.816.716.6
Heidenheim vs BraunschweigHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Heidenheim0.0NoNo
No*No0.0
6.37.27.9
Braunschweig8.98.27.1
Lautern vs KSCHomeDrawAway
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
KSC10.19.38.2
Lautern0.00.10.3
9.811.011.6
Paderborn vs UnionHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Braunschweig8.08.18.2
Union9.99.38.2
KSC9.19.29.4
FSV20.617.416.4
Fortuna30.926.425.0
14.714.614.6
TSV 186063.760.659.7
15.815.615.5
Paderborn79.791.895.4
16.216.716.9
Bochum vs FSVHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Bochum0.00.0No
4.65.05.3
Arminia3.54.15.1
13.013.113.2
FSV22.014.85.5
14.414.013.2
Fortuna25.327.430.1
14.614.714.8
TSV 186058.962.066.0
15.615.615.7
Paderborn90.391.693.0
Sandhaufen vs ArminiaHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Sandhaufen0.00.20.8
10.411.412.1
Arminia6.73.10.5
13.613.112.1
Fortuna25.926.827.4
14.614.614.7
TSV 186059.861.161.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you LN for adding this league.