"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim 1 Hertha BSC 1 -1.1
-2.1
+0.1
-0.2
Borussia Dortmund 5 Köln 0 -0.4
-0.6
-0.1
Werder Bremen 1 Schalke 04 2 -0.4
-0.5
-0.1
Hannover 96 2 Hamburger SV 0 -0.3
-0.2
Bayern München 4 Mainz 05 0 -0.3
-0.3
Leipzig 2 Mönchengladbach 2 +0.2
+0.3
Eintracht Frank 1 Augsburg 2 -0.2
-0.3
Stuttgart 1 Wolfsburg 0 +0.1
Bayer Leverkusen 4 Freiburg 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim-2.9-1.3+2.8
-7.8-2.8+7.1
+0.9+0.1-0.7
-0.8-0.3+0.7
Freiburg vs Hannover 96+0.6+0.3-0.5
+0.8+0.4-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.3+0.4-0.4
Schalke 04 vs Bayern München-0.0+0.3-0.2
-0.2+0.4-0.1
Augsburg vs Leipzig-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.4-0.1
Hertha BSC vs Bayer Leverkusen-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.2+0.3-0.0
Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.2+0.2*-0.0
Köln vs Eintracht Frank+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04+3.7-0.8-3.0
+8.9-1.6-7.5
-0.7+0.0+0.7
+0.9-0.1-0.7
Hannover 96 vs Köln-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.7+0.4+0.8
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Borussia Dortmund vs Mönchengladbach-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.4+0.3+0.3
Bayern München vs Wolfsburg-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.6+0.4+0.6
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Leipzig vs Eintracht Frank-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.4
Stuttgart vs Augsburg+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3+0.3-0.4
Mainz 05 vs Hertha BSC+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hoffenheim finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed2.
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718BundesligaCount
83-98YesYes100No23,590*
8223-5-299.9%Yes1000No1,133*
8123-4-3YesYes100No2,009*
8022-6-2100.0Yes1000No3,773*
7922-5-399.9Yes1000No6,824*
7822-4-499.8Yes1000No11,794*
7721-6-399.7Yes1000No19,919*
7621-5-499.6Yes1000No32,441*
7521-4-599.4Yes991No52,527*
7420-6-499.0Yes9910No82,560*
7320-5-598.4Yes9820No126,436*
7219-7-497.5Yes9730No189,713*
7119-6-596.2Yes9640No279,270*
7019-5-694.3Yes94600No400,613*
6918-7-591.7Yes92800No564,898*
6818-6-688.3Yes881100No776,984*
6717-8-583.6Yes841610No1,048,949*
6617-7-677.9100.0%7821200No1,388,992*
6517-6-770.8100.07126300No1,801,576*
6416-8-662.4100.062325000No2,290,489*
6316-7-753.1100.053388100No2,851,360*
6216-6-843.099.9434213200No3,483,693*
6115-8-733.099.73344193000No4,177,036*
6015-7-823.699.32443266100No4,911,337*
5915-6-915.598.1163932112000No5,663,003*
5814-8-89.295.4932361840000No6,409,461*
5714-7-94.890.0523372691000No7,118,649*
5613-9-82.280.82143232154000No7,758,093*
5513-8-90.867.11824342381000No8,291,957*
5413-7-100.249.8031531301540000No8,700,132*
5312-9-90.131.801823332492000No8,954,794*
5212-8-100.016.70031328311851000No9,042,969*
5112-7-110.06.900161931271230000No8,962,999*
5011-9-100.02.100021024322282000No8,715,338*
4911-8-11No0.500041428301751000No8,313,831*
4811-7-12No0.1000161830271330000No7,766,513*
4710-9-11No0.000029233124102000No7,125,160*
4610-8-12No0.0000312263120710000.0%6,405,897*
4510-7-13NoNo00151629291651000.05,647,248*
449-9-12NoNo000172031261230000.04,871,922*
439-8-13NoNo000210243122820000.14,128,704*
428-10-12NoNo00041428301851000.43,421,895*
418-9-13NoNo00016193128133001.62,776,697*
408-8-14NoNo0002102533227104.82,204,149*
397-10-13NoNo0014153031153011.31,712,881*
387-9-14NoNo00182334258121.61,304,518*
377-8-15NoNo000314313316234.7969,324*
366-10-14NoNo0017243725649.1702,857*
356-9-15NoNo00031636341162.9498,469*
346-8-16NoNo001930411874.6345,872*
335-10-15NoNo00523452883.6232,606*
325-9-16NoNo00215443890.0152,042*
315-8-17NoNo0110405094.397,675*
305-7-18NoNo006346096.960,518*
294-9-17NoNo03276998.436,716*
284-8-18NoNo01217799.221,522*
274-7-19NoNo1168399.612,327*
263-9-18NoNo0118999.96,672*
253-8-19NoNo0793100.03,596*
243-7-20NoNo595Yes1,757*
232-9-19NoNo397Yes929*
222-8-20NoNo298Yes436*
212-7-21NoNo199Yes175*
201-9-20NoNo496Yes73*
191-8-21NoNo100Yes33*
181-7-22NoNo892Yes12*
8-17NoNo100Yes22,527*
Total:9.0%39.2%9101010998765443221101.5%162,990,864

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship