Hamburger SV Title Chances 2014-2015
Beat Paderborn 3-0, title odds unchanged at 0.0001%
20 points 5-5-9
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/30 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | 2. Bundesliga | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hamburger 0 Koln 2 | No | +9.7 | -0.6 | |||
| Paderborn 0 Hamburger 3 | -15.8 | +0.8 | ||||
| Freiburg 4 Eintracht 1 | +1.8 | -0.1 | ||||
| Hoffenheim 1 Werder Bremen 2 | +1.3 | -0.1 | ||||
| Dortmund 0 Augsburg 1 | -1.3 | +0.1 | ||||
| Hertha Berlin 0 Leverkusen 1 | -1.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| Stuttgart 0 Monchengladbach 1 | -1.0 | +0.0 | ||||
| Monchengladbach 1 Freiburg 0 | -0.5 | +0.0 | ||||
| Werder Bremen 2 Hertha Berlin 0 | +0.4 | |||||
| Leverkusen 0 Dortmund 0 | +0.3 | -0.0 | ||||
| Mainz 5 Paderborn 0 | +0.1 | |||||
| Koln 0 Stuttgart 0 | *-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 2/6 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | 2. Bundesliga | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hamburger vs Hannover | +0.0NoNo | -11.4+1.9+9.6 | +0.8-0.2-0.7 | |||
| Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | +2.7+0.6-0.7 | -0.1-0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Werder Bremen vs Leverkusen | +0.7+0.1-0.4 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Augsburg vs Eintracht | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |||||
| Mainz vs Hertha Berlin | -0.9+0.1+2.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Koln vs Paderborn | -0.9-0.1+1.8 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Freiburg vs Dortmund | -0.2-0.5+0.8 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well Hamburger finishes out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | 2. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Bundesliga | Count | |||||
| 65 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.8 | % | 100.0 | % | 1 | 61 | 37 | 1 | 0 | No | 514,485 | ||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 96.9 | 41 | 56 | 3 | No | 32 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | Yes | 25 | 55 | 20 | No | 40 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 97.4 | 13 | 62 | 22 | 3 | No | 154 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 93.8 | 9 | 52 | 33 | 6 | 0 | No | 711 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 89.1 | 6 | 41 | 42 | 10 | 1 | No | 1,536 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 78.1 | 2 | 31 | 45 | 19 | 3 | 0 | No | 5,170 | |||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 62.6 | 1 | 19 | 43 | 30 | 7 | 1 | No | 13,889 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 46.7 | 0 | 11 | 36 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 31,359 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 55 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 31.3 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 4 | 0 | No | 82,075 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 17.9 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 34 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 180,523 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 53 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 9.2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 372,975 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 52 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 3.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 804,066 | * | |||||||||||||
| 51 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,524,065 | * | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 46 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,842,645 | * | |||||||||||||
| 49 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,246,557 | * | ||||||||||||
| 48 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,868,051 | * | |||||||||||
| 47 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 14,757,358 | * | ||||||||||||
| 46 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 23,854,695 | * | |||||||||||
| 45 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 36,087,684 | * | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 53,611,989 | * | |||||||||||
| 43 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 76,766,135 | * | |||||||||
| 42 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 104,004,146 | * | ||||||||||
| 41 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 137,862,632 | * | ||||||||||
| 40 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 175,547,546 | * | ||||||||||
| 39 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 212,453,792 | * | ||||||||||
| 38 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 250,514,552 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 | 138,528,277 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2.9 | 144,427,147 | * | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 | 205,220,977 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 | 98,656,078 | * | |||||||||||||
| 35 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 18.4 | 316,578,054 | * | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 32.6 | 155,842,985 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 34.6 | 158,892,781 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 33 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 51.1 | 200,175,581 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 51.6 | 96,242,467 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 38 | 13 | 68.1 | 269,286,397 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 31 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 45 | 23 | 80.8 | 112,035,129 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 45 | 25 | 82.0 | 120,074,637 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 45 | 38 | 90.4 | 187,715,813 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 29 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 54 | 95.7 | 145,202,498 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | 98.3 | 105,477,335 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 99.4 | 70,457,524 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 88 | 99.8 | 44,255,061 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | 25,619,297 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 12,956,454 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | 5,845,780 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | 2,333,159 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 657,174 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 601,993 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 34.8 | % | 3,723,031,460 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:21 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
