How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Bayern Munich 3 Bayer Leverkusen 1 -0.1
-0.5
Wolfsburg 2 Hertha Berlin 2 +0.1
Dortmund 3 Eintracht Frank 1 -0.1
-0.1
Dusseldorf 2 Hoffenheim 1 +0.2
RB Leipzig 3 Hannover 2 +0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Freiburg vs Stuttgart+0.4-0.1-0.3
+2.3-0.7-1.8
-7.5+1.1+6.8
+0.9-0.2-0.8
B. Monchengladb vs Schalke-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.5-0.1+0.7
Werder Bremen vs Nurnberg-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Wolfsburg vs Freiburg-0.3-0.1+0.4
-1.8-0.5+2.7
+5.4+0.6-7.6
-0.7-0.1+1.0
Freiburg vs Schalke+0.4-0.1-0.3
+2.3-0.7-1.8
-7.5+1.1+6.7
+0.9-0.2-0.8
Schalke vs Bayern Munich+0.1+0.0-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.8*-0.0-0.5
Bayern Munich vs Augsburg-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Dortmund vs Nurnberg-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4*-0.0+0.5
Hertha Berlin vs B. Monchengladb-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5*-0.1-0.3
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.9-0.1-0.6
B. Monchengladb vs Eintracht Frank-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2*-0.1+0.4
Augsburg vs Werder Bremen*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Dusseldorf vs Bayer Leverkusen-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4-0.2+0.6
Werder Bremen vs Hertha Berlin*+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Stuttgart vs Dusseldorf+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Mainz vs Wolfsburg*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Hannover vs Hoffenheim*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.2-0.1*-0.1
Eintracht Frank vs RB Leipzig+0.1-0.1*-0.0
RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart-0.2-0.2+0.4
Nurnberg vs Hannover+0.1-0.2*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Freiburg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed2.
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718BundesligaCount
74-96YesYes100No1,027*
7322-7-395.5%Yes955No22*
7222-6-4YesYes100No59*
7122-5-598.9Yes991No90*
7021-7-497.7Yes982No171*
6921-6-596.4Yes964No279*
6821-5-693.3Yes9360No493*
6720-7-590.2Yes9010No755*
6620-6-689.2Yes89100No1,232*
6520-5-782.1Yes821710No1,870*
6419-7-674.5100.0%752320No2,990*
6319-6-769.5Yes692730No4,397*
6218-8-658.5100.05934610No6,451*
6118-7-748.799.949401010No9,482*
6018-6-838.399.8384316300No13,537*
5917-8-728.199.5284323500No18,983*
5817-7-818.698.3194030102000No25,880*
5717-6-911.295.9113435164000No35,120*
5616-8-85.890.562536248100No46,778*
5516-7-92.580.5315323115410No60,759*
5415-9-80.965.8182433249200No77,690*
5315-8-90.347.103142930175100No98,472*
5215-7-100.027.6017203126123000No121,564*
5114-9-90.012.9002102531218200No147,346*
5014-8-100.04.30014142729186100No175,687*
4914-7-11No1.00016172927144100No207,118*
4813-9-10No0.20028203025123000No237,467*
4713-8-11No0.00021023312392000No269,308*
4613-7-12No0.00003122530208100No299,283*
4512-9-11No0.0000141427291861000.0%328,834*
4412-8-12NoNo00151729281541000.0351,372*
4312-7-13NoNo00172030261230000.2371,252*
4211-9-12NoNo0021024312392000.9384,553*
4111-8-13NoNo0014132731185103.4391,061*
4010-10-12NoNo001618312813309.1391,903*
3910-9-13NoNo0002102533237119.0383,480*
3810-8-14NoNo001416323214232.4369,825*
379-10-13NoNo0018253624547.4348,426*
369-9-14NoNo0041635341162.0323,077*
359-8-15NoNo001930411974.2293,666*
348-10-14NoNo00522442883.6262,472*
338-9-15NoNo00215433990.1228,952*
328-8-16NoNo0019395194.5195,823*
317-10-15NoNo005336197.0164,054*
307-9-16NoNo003277198.5134,373*
297-8-17NoNo01207999.3108,289*
286-10-16NoNo01158599.784,136*
276-9-17NoNo00108999.864,684*
266-8-18NoNo079399.948,969*
255-10-17NoNo0495100.035,829*
245-9-18NoNo0397100.025,504*
235-8-19NoNo298Yes17,582*
225-7-20NoNo0199100.011,962*
214-9-19NoNo199Yes7,925*
204-8-20NoNo0100Yes5,116*
194-7-21NoNo0100Yes3,152*
183-9-20NoNo0100Yes1,867*
173-8-21NoNo0100Yes1,058*
0-16NoNo100Yes2,242*
Total:0.6%5.2%11222334556778910121329.8%7,205,748

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship