"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*Average seed
Rattenball 3 Bochum 1 -10.3
-2.8
-0.1
FSV 0 Nuernberg 3 -1.7
-5.9
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fuerth vs Freiburg-15.6-7.5+10.9
-15.5-5.6+9.8
-0.3-0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*Average seed
Freiburg vs St. Pauli+10.9-7.5-15.6
+9.7-5.7-15.5
+0.2-0.1-0.3
Fortuna vs Rattenball+12.4+6.0-7.4
+4.7+1.7-2.5
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Nuernberg vs Duisburg-1.9+2.6+4.0
-5.0+6.5+12.0
-0.1+0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Freiburg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleAufstieg1234567891011121314151617183.LigaCount
777-0-099.6%Yes1000No131,298,720
756-1-096.8Yes973No539,854,690
746-0-189.299.9%89110No355,653,866
735-2-083.799.884160No964,278,401
725-1-171.098.871281No1,262,595,172
714-3-057.496.757393No954,356,877
5-0-255.996.456404No406,528,580
704-2-143.092.343498No1,862,340,990
694-1-227.683.7285616No1,190,664,346
3-4-029.085.1295615No565,326,424
683-3-117.073.3175627No1,461,029,561
4-0-316.071.8165628No248,917,910
673-2-28.859.395141No1,390,829,533
2-5-09.561.5105238No200,381,882
662-4-14.145.544154No642,887,599
3-1-33.743.744056No576,871,640
652-3-21.531.223069No809,811,260
3-0-41.429.812870No87,690,703
1-6-01.733.223167No39,359,946
642-2-30.519.6019800No499,621,246
1-5-10.521.2121790No150,444,703
631-4-20.111.9012880No235,071,596
2-1-40.110.9011890No150,515,303
0-7-00.113.201387No3,306,626
621-3-30.06.006922No191,695,959
2-0-50.05.405922No17,645,633
0-6-10.06.807921No14,631,780
611-2-40.02.7039340No85,783,317
0-5-20.03.1039430No27,219,011
600-4-30.01.1019090No27,490,591
1-1-50.00.90188110No19,899,404
590-3-40.00.30081180No16,235,716
1-0-60.00.30077221No1,856,968
580-2-5No0.10663320No5,587,941
570-1-6No0.00474760No1,031,294
560-0-7No0.0023581810No2,171,032
Total:34.6%72.5%3538270000No15,140,886,220
Points
Chance Will Win Championship