"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
I. Medellin vs Libertad+18.7-2.0-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
Caracas vs Boca Juniors-0.6+2.0-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Boca Juniors vs I. Medellin-17.4-2.0+18.7
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Libertad vs Caracas-0.6+2.0-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the I. Medellin finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In10062,476,080*
155-0-1In99177,978,016
144-2-0In100077,372,518
134-1-1In937245,596,549
124-0-299.8%72280194,907,719
3-3-0In93764,995,252
113-2-199.969310309,459,649
103-1-294.130646491,096,898
2-4-099.56238030,715,209
93-0-361.6359381259,827,774
2-3-188.9206911194,922,191
82-2-246.7146521464,058,718
1-5-082.01171187,741,879
72-1-39.196822491,091,922
1-4-127.402767661,404,088
61-3-23.335839194,929,993
2-0-40.403960194,871,367
0-6-017.30177310812,406
51-2-30.102773309,407,409
0-5-10.7144557,736,367
41-1-4Out892245,564,823
0-4-20.00148630,708,700
31-0-5Out19977,977,867
0-3-3Out39765,009,370
20-2-4Out010077,379,675
0-1Out10062,491,609*
Total:50.0%252525254,300,534,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Lottery seed
I. Medellin vs Libertad-4.3+0.7+3.9
Caracas vs Boca Juniors+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10100.0*Lottery seed
Boca Juniors vs I. Medellin+3.9+0.7-4.3
Libertad vs Caracas+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-0964000
165-1-0781920000
155-0-150351120000100
144-2-028392382000000
134-1-182228211031070000
124-0-214111819135120710000000
3-3-0161726241451610000
113-2-1002715211761312510000000
103-1-2000015111361518148310510000
2-4-00001412242161211621000000
93-0-30000020151015159320134100000
2-3-100003160271419168273100000
82-2-20001000141017148161594100000
1-5-0001100028192515475200000
72-1-3000002713915191814841000000
1-4-10000001620151217171262100000
61-3-20003000151017211913721000
2-0-40000000126131921181252000
0-6-0001170013815201811520000
51-2-30000000251118232013620
0-5-1010000139172322157200
41-1-4000000139172525154
0-4-20000001513222621102
31-0-500000310253725
0-3-300001413283519
20-2-400002113651
10-1-5000021978
00-0-6000496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333