"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Boca Juniors vs MonagasOutOut+27.5
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Colo-Colo vs Deportivo Pereira+5.2+18.5Out
-0.2+0.2+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Monagas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
81-0-044.4%44561,570,367,597
60-1-0Out6238989,144,709
50-0-1Out22781,570,353,230
Total:16.9%1744394,129,865,536
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/27100.0*Lottery seed
Boca Juniors vs Monagas+4.4+1.2-5.1
Colo-Colo vs Deportivo Pereira+0.1-0.5+0.3
Athletico-PR vs Alianza Lima-0.3+0.0+0.3
Olimpia vs Melgar-0.3+0.1+0.3
Racing vs Nublense-0.3-0.0+0.3
Barcelona SC vs Cerro Porteno+0.2-0.4+0.1
Atletico Nacional vs Patronato-0.2-0.2+0.3
Libertad vs Atletico-MG+0.2+0.0-0.2
Flamengo vs Aucas-0.3+0.1+0.2
River Plate vs The Strongest-0.1-0.1+0.1
Nacional vs Metropolitanos+0.1+0.1-0.1
Fluminense vs Sporting Cristal-0.1-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
81-0-0217258231950
60-1-0027172525167200
50-0-100151426291961
Total:16103972246891111720