Club Libertad Playoff Chances 50/50
Lost to Boca Juniors 0-2, playoff odds down 12.9 to 69.9%
6 points 2-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Libertad 0 Boca Juniors 2 | -13.9 | -0.4 | ||
| I. Medellin 2 Caracas 3 | -2.2 | -0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 9/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Caracas vs Libertad | -27.2+3.8+24.8 | -0.5+0.0+0.5 | ||
| I. Medellin vs Boca Juniors | +0.3+2.4-1.9 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Libertad finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Count | |||
| 15 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 149,825 | ||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 90 | 10 | 283,290 | |||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 64 | 36 | 449,450 | |||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.3 | % | 54 | 45 | 1 | 178,194 | |||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 87.7 | 18 | 70 | 12 | 566,208 | ||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 52.4 | 0 | 52 | 48 | 448,580 | ||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 81.0 | 10 | 71 | 19 | 37,195 | |||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 36.7 | 37 | 63 | 1 | 178,083 | ||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 6.3 | 6 | 75 | 19 | 282,673 | ||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | 39 | 61 | 150,006 | |||||
| Total: | 69.9 | % | 33 | 37 | 25 | 5 | 2,723,504 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Libertad 0 Boca Juniors 2 | +3.6 | |
| I. Medellin 2 Caracas 3 | +0.2 | |
| Santos 0 Olimpia 0 | -0.1 | |
| Sao Paulo 2 River Plate 2 | -0.1 | |
| Bolivar 1 Palmeiras 2 | +0.0 | |
| U. Catolica 2 Gremio 0 | -0.0 | |
| Internacional 4 America de Cali 3 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Guarani vs Tigre | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/23 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Caracas vs Libertad | +4.5+0.1-4.5 | |
| I. Medellin vs Boca Juniors | -0.4-0.3+0.5 | |
| Alianza Lima vs Racing | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Delfin vs Santos | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Barcelona SC vs Flamengo | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Tigre vs Bolivar | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Binacional vs River Plate | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Internacional vs Gremio | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| LDU vs Sao Paulo | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Defensa y Justicia vs Olimpia | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| America de Cali vs U. Catolica | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 15 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 38 | 40 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 16 | 27 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Thursday, 2020-9-17 10:00 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
