Club Libertad Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.007 to 96.4%

9 points 3-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 4/17	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Libertad 2 Penarol 1	+12.6		+0.4
The Strongest 1 Atletico Tucuman 2	+0.9		+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Penarol vs Libertad	-5.7+3.3In		-0.2+0.1+0.2
Atletico Tucuman vs The Strongest	-0.3+1.1-0.3		-0.0+0.1-0.0

Chances based on how well the Libertad finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

13	-18						In		100				2,682,356	*
12		1	-	0	-	2	In		78	22			740,752
		0	-	3	-	0	In		100				62,195
11		0	-	2	-	1	In		86	14			294,003
10		0	-	1	-	2	97.6	%	32	66	2		466,025
9		0	-	0	-	3	39.3		2	37	55	6	247,005

Total:							96.4	%	83	14	3	0	4,492,336

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 4/17	100.0*	Lottery seed
Libertad 2 Penarol 1	-3.6
The Strongest 1 Atletico Tucuman 2	-0.2
Racing 4 Vasco da Gama 0	+0.1
Cerro Porteno 0 Gremio 0	-0.1
Universidad de Chile 0 Cruzeiro 0	-0.0
Independiente 0 Corinthians 1	+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
Penarol vs Libertad	+2.4-0.2-2.3
Atletico Tucuman vs The Strongest	+0.1-0.2+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Racing	-0.1-0.1+0.2
Boca Juniors vs Palmeiras	-0.0-0.1+0.1
Santos vs Estudiantes	+0.1-0.1-0.0
River Plate vs Emelec	+0.1-0.0-0.1
Atletico Nacional vs Bolivar	+0.1-0.1-0.0
Cruzeiro vs Universidad de Chile	-0.0-0.0+0.1
Santa Fe vs Flamengo	-0.0-0.0+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

18	3	-	0	-	0	100
16	2	-	1	-	0	87	12	1	0
15	2	-	0	-	1	74	23	3	0	0	0
14	1	-	2	-	0	43	38	15	3	0	0	0
13	1	-	1	-	1	12	30	31	18	7	1	0	0
12	1	-	0	-	2	1	6	16	22	19	10	3	0	19	3	0	0	0
	0	-	3	-	0	2	11	24	30	22	9	2	0
11	0	-	2	-	1	0	0	3	10	21	27	19	6	7	5	2	0	0	0	0
10	0	-	1	-	2		0	0	0	1	4	12	14	5	15	20	16	8	2	0	0	2	0	0
9	0	-	0	-	3						0	0	2	0	1	3	7	10	10	6	1	32	21	7	1	0	0	0

Total:						32	15	11	9	6	4	3	2	4	2	2	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0