How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Universitario vs Palmeiras-17.4-2.0+18.7
-0.4-0.0+0.5
I. del Valle vs Defensa y Justicia-0.6+2.0-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras vs I. del Valle+18.7-2.0-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
Defensa y Justicia vs Universitario-0.6+2.0-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Palmeiras finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In10038,413,762*
155-0-1In99147,938,180
144-2-0In100047,579,059
134-1-1In937150,951,395
124-0-299.8%72280119,773,951
3-3-0In93739,947,743
113-2-199.969310190,181,997
103-1-294.130646301,823,522
2-4-099.56237018,871,501
93-0-361.6359381159,693,823
2-3-189.0206911119,806,171
82-2-246.6146521285,237,607
1-5-082.61271174,757,778
72-1-39.196822301,801,737
1-4-127.602867637,740,495
61-3-23.335839119,806,050
2-0-40.403960119,780,046
0-6-018.0018739500,476
51-2-30.102773190,164,288
0-5-10.7144554,760,610
41-1-4Out892150,977,210
0-4-20.00148618,881,269
31-0-5Out19947,936,865
0-3-3Out39739,930,535
20-2-4Out010047,556,530
0-1Out10038,396,776*
Total:50.0%252525252,643,209,376

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20100.0*Lottery seed
Universitario vs Palmeiras+3.9+0.7-4.3
I. del Valle vs Defensa y Justicia+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Lottery seed
Palmeiras vs I. del Valle-4.3+0.7+3.9
Defensa y Justicia vs Universitario+0.1-0.2+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-0964000
165-1-0781920000
155-0-148361220000100
144-2-02638249200000
134-1-182128211131070000
124-0-203101720146120710000000
3-3-0161625251551610000
113-2-1002614211871312510000000
103-1-2000014111461418148310510000
2-4-000014122422612116210000000
93-0-30000020149151611319135100000
2-3-10000317026141917927310000
82-2-2001000139171571515104100000
1-5-0001200028192616465210000
72-1-3000002713814181814841000000
1-4-10000001621151217171262100000
61-3-20003000141017212013731000
2-0-4000000126121821191262000
0-6-0001170013815201812520000
51-2-300000000151018232114620
0-5-10100000138162222158200
41-1-400000138172525165
0-4-200000151322262092
31-0-500000310253725
0-3-300001413283519
20-2-400002113651
10-1-5000022078
00-0-6000496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333