How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
I. del Valle vs Defensa y Justicia+18.6-2.0-17.4
+0.5-0.0-0.4
Universitario vs Palmeiras-0.6+2.0-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras vs I. del Valle-17.4-2.0+18.7
-0.4-0.0+0.5
Defensa y Justicia vs Universitario-0.6+2.0-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the I. del Valle finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
16-18In10038,888,546*
155-0-1In99148,533,426
144-2-0In100048,153,238
134-1-1In937152,853,402
124-0-299.8%72280121,321,936
3-3-0In93740,435,251
113-2-199.968310192,594,848
103-1-294.130646305,665,002
2-4-099.56237019,108,486
93-0-361.6359381161,716,101
2-3-188.9206911121,321,657
82-2-246.6146521288,817,489
1-5-082.61271174,820,326
72-1-39.196822305,642,779
1-4-127.602867638,224,881
61-3-23.335839121,334,917
2-0-40.403960121,311,390
0-6-018.0018739506,163
51-2-30.102773192,587,803
0-5-10.7144554,817,194
41-1-4Out892152,852,038
0-4-20.00148619,111,987
31-0-5Out19948,541,264
0-3-3Out39740,444,091
20-2-4Out010048,164,788
0-1Out10038,876,709*
Total:50.0%252525252,676,645,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/20100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting Cristal 0 Sao Paulo 3 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
I. del Valle vs Defensa y Justicia-4.3+0.7+3.9
Universitario vs Palmeiras+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Lottery seed
Palmeiras vs I. del Valle+3.9+0.7-4.3
Defensa y Justicia vs Universitario+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
186-0-0964000
165-1-078202000
155-0-148361220000100
144-2-026382492000000
134-1-182128211141070000
124-0-203101720146120710000000
3-3-01616252515516100000
113-2-1002614211871312510000000
103-1-200001411146141814831051000
2-4-00001412242261211621000000
93-0-30000020149151611319135100000
2-3-100003170261419179273100000
82-2-20001000139171571515104100000
1-5-000120002819261646521000
72-1-300002713814181814841000000
1-4-1000001621151217171262100000
61-3-20003000141017212013731000
2-0-4000000126121821191262000
0-6-0000117001381520181252000
51-2-300000000151018232114620
0-5-1010000138162222157200
41-1-400000138172525165
0-4-2000000151322262092
31-0-500000310253725
0-3-300001413283519
20-2-400002113651
10-1-5000022078
00-0-6000496
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333