How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.2-0.4-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG+1.5-1.1-2.1
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
América-MG vs Portuguesa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Vasco-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Náutico vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
América-RN vs Icasa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Ceará vs Luverdense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Vila Nova vs Náutico*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Joinville-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.3-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Icasa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
ABC vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Oeste vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Náutico vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sampaio Corrêa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
85-114YesYes100No2,300*
8426-6-699.0%Yes991No101*
80-83YesYes100No1,998*
7924-7-799.7Yes1000No1,489*
7823-9-699.7Yes1000No2,309*
7723-8-799.5Yes1000No3,732*
7623-7-899.1Yes991No5,680*
7522-9-798.6Yes9910No8,573*
7422-8-897.9Yes9820No12,558*
7322-7-996.8Yes9730No18,194*
7221-9-895.0Yes9550No26,178*
7121-8-992.5Yes92700No36,846*
7020-10-889.1Yes89110No50,665*
6920-9-984.3Yes841510No68,949*
6820-8-1078.2Yes782020No92,293*
6719-10-970.2100.0%7026300No120,395*
6619-9-1060.7100.061336100No154,764*
6519-8-1149.899.9503811100No196,577*
6418-10-1037.999.73842173000No245,135*
6318-9-1126.999.027422471000No300,563*
6217-11-1016.797.01737311230000No362,399*
6117-10-119.192.5929342061000No427,999*
6017-9-124.083.141932281331000No500,460*
5916-11-111.467.311025312292000No571,368*
5816-10-120.446.5041528291761000No645,006*
5716-9-130.125.201618282614510000No712,432*
5615-11-120.010.000282028241341000No776,391*
5515-10-13No2.600292128231241000No831,794*
5415-9-14No0.4000392128231241000No875,582*
5314-11-13No0.0000039212823124100000.0%902,639*
5214-10-14No0.00002920272412410000.0917,033*
5114-9-15NoNo0002819272413410000.0917,122*
5013-11-14NoNo00002819272514410000.1899,898*
4913-10-15NoNo000281928251441000.9866,552*
4812-12-14NoNo0000281928251341004.7821,880*
4712-11-15NoNo000292029241230015.4763,116*
4612-10-16NoNo000031023302392034.3698,096*
4511-12-15NoNo00014132630206156.9625,852*
4411-11-16NoNo001517303014276.4553,679*
4311-10-17NoNo00029243524689.1475,890*
4210-12-16NoNo000141533341395.7405,526*
4110-11-17NoNo0001827412398.6337,427*
4010-10-18NoNo00419423499.6276,095*
399-12-17NoNo00212404799.9220,953*
389-11-18NoNo0173458100.0173,305*
379-10-19NoNo0042769100.0134,118*
368-12-18NoNo0022178100.0100,692*
358-11-19NoNo011584Yes75,030*
348-10-20NoNo001090Yes53,574*
337-12-19NoNo00793Yes38,282*
327-11-20NoNo0496Yes25,999*
317-10-21NoNo397Yes17,596*
306-12-20NoNo298Yes11,809*
296-11-21NoNo199Yes7,651*
286-10-22NoNo0100Yes4,872*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes2,935*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,696*
0-25NoNo100Yes4,393*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%17,386,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship