How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Atlético-GO vs Joinville-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.3-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Joinville vs Bragantino+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Oeste vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Ceará vs Luverdense*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
América-RN vs Icasa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
América-MG vs Portuguesa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
ABC vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vila Nova vs Náutico*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Joinville vs Vila Nova+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.1-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Joinville vs América-RN+1.5-1.2-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Icasa vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Náutico vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Portuguesa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Joinville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
80-114YesYes100No4,299*
7924-7-799.9%Yes1000No1,407*
7823-9-699.7Yes1000No2,299*
7723-8-799.3Yes991No3,630*
7623-7-899.3Yes991No5,592*
7522-9-798.8Yes9910No8,382*
7422-8-897.8Yes9820No12,613*
7322-7-996.8Yes9730No18,172*
7221-9-894.9Yes9550No26,295*
7121-8-992.7Yes9370No36,607*
7020-10-889.0Yes891100No50,752*
6920-9-984.2Yes841510No68,801*
6820-8-1078.1Yes782020No92,230*
6719-10-970.3100.0%7026300No120,066*
6619-9-1060.5100.061336100No155,878*
6519-8-1149.699.9503810100No196,245*
6418-10-1038.099.73842173000No245,117*
6318-9-1126.799.027422471000No300,203*
6217-11-1016.697.1173731123000No361,289*
6117-10-119.092.5929342061000No428,587*
6017-9-124.183.141932281331000No499,140*
5916-11-111.567.311025312292000No572,638*
5816-10-120.446.40415282917610000No643,040*
5716-9-130.125.30161828261451000No713,418*
5615-11-120.010.0002820282413410000No777,510*
5515-10-130.02.6000292128231241000No830,517*
5415-9-14No0.4000292128231241000No873,352*
5314-11-13No0.0000392028231241000No902,870*
5214-10-14No0.000002920282412410000.0%918,873*
5114-9-15NoNo0002819272413410000.0915,358*
5013-11-14NoNo00002819272514410000.1899,826*
4913-10-15NoNo000281928251441000.9867,716*
4812-12-14NoNo0000281928251341004.7822,360*
4712-11-15NoNo0000292029241230015.4765,388*
4612-10-16NoNo00031023302392034.3698,351*
4511-12-15NoNo00014132630206156.9626,694*
4411-11-16NoNo0001517303014276.4553,453*
4311-10-17NoNo000029243524689.2477,743*
4210-12-16NoNo00041533341395.7405,587*
4110-11-17NoNo0001827412398.6336,979*
4010-10-18NoNo000419433499.6274,879*
399-12-17NoNo00212404799.9221,326*
389-11-18NoNo00173458100.0173,441*
379-10-19NoNo0042769100.0133,803*
368-12-18NoNo022078Yes99,964*
358-11-19NoNo011485Yes74,272*
348-10-20NoNo001090Yes53,377*
337-12-19NoNo00793Yes38,531*
327-11-20NoNo0496Yes26,427*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes17,834*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes11,751*
296-11-21NoNo199Yes7,691*
286-10-22NoNo0100Yes4,713*
275-12-21NoNo199Yes2,925*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,765*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes1,031*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes591*
0-23NoNo100Yes2,842*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%17,386,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship