How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense vs Vila Nova-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.0
+3.2-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Vila Nova vs Náutico+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
ABC vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
América-MG vs Portuguesa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Joinville*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
América-RN vs Icasa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Ceará vs Luverdense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.0
+3.2-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Joinville vs Vila Nova-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.0
+3.2-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Joinville vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Vasco-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Oeste vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vila Nova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
80-114YesYes100No4,432*
7924-7-799.9%Yes1000No1,472*
7823-9-699.6Yes1000No2,247*
7723-8-799.5Yes1000No3,534*
7623-7-899.2Yes991No5,623*
7522-9-798.6Yes9910No8,517*
7422-8-898.1Yes9820No12,524*
7322-7-996.5Yes9730No18,190*
7221-9-895.0Yes9550No26,219*
7121-8-992.5Yes93700No36,691*
7020-10-888.9Yes891100No50,482*
6920-9-984.4Yes841510No69,164*
6820-8-1078.0100.0%7820200No91,641*
6719-10-970.3100.07026300No120,121*
6619-9-1060.6100.061336000No154,734*
6519-8-1149.899.9503811100No196,854*
6418-10-1037.899.73842173000No245,264*
6318-9-1126.599.026422471000No301,221*
6217-11-1016.897.0173731123000No362,468*
6117-10-119.092.5929342061000No428,521*
6017-9-124.083.041932281331000No501,054*
5916-11-111.467.4110253122920000No573,023*
5816-10-120.446.40415282917610000No643,923*
5716-9-130.125.20161828261451000No714,084*
5615-11-120.010.000282028241341000No776,072*
5515-10-130.02.60002921282312410000No829,760*
5415-9-14No0.40003921282312410000No873,239*
5314-11-13No0.000039202823124100000.0%903,806*
5214-10-14No0.000029202824124100000.0918,018*
5114-9-15NoNo0002819272413410000.0917,321*
5013-11-14NoNo00002819272513410000.1898,519*
4913-10-15NoNo000281927251441000.9867,546*
4812-12-14NoNo0000281928251341004.7821,570*
4712-11-15NoNo0000292029241230015.4763,263*
4612-10-16NoNo0000310233023102034.3698,730*
4511-12-15NoNo00014132631206157.0626,283*
4411-11-16NoNo0001517312914276.4551,670*
4311-10-17NoNo00029243524689.2476,125*
4210-12-16NoNo00041533341395.8406,557*
4110-11-17NoNo001827412398.6337,302*
4010-10-18NoNo000419433499.6274,615*
399-12-17NoNo00212404799.9221,650*
389-11-18NoNo00173459100.0173,698*
379-10-19NoNo00042769100.0133,873*
368-12-18NoNo022178Yes101,337*
358-11-19NoNo0011585100.074,181*
348-10-20NoNo001090Yes53,841*
337-12-19NoNo00793Yes37,956*
327-11-20NoNo0496Yes26,343*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes17,699*
306-12-20NoNo298Yes11,940*
296-11-21NoNo199Yes7,665*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes4,652*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes2,966*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,726*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes1,107*
0-24NoNo100Yes3,407*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%17,386,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship