How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Ceará vs Luverdense-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.3-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Luverdense vs Vila Nova+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.1-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vila Nova vs Náutico*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Náutico vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
América-RN vs Icasa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
América-MG vs Portuguesa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Joinville*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Oeste vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
ABC vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense vs Paraná+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Luverdense vs América-RN+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.1-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Ceará-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Joinville vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Icasa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.1
Joinville vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Náutico vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Portuguesa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Luverdense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
81-114YesYes100No3,506*
8024-8-699.9%Yes1000No892*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No1,484*
7823-9-699.8Yes1000No2,301*
7723-8-799.5Yes1000No3,697*
7623-7-899.2Yes991No5,648*
7522-9-798.5Yes9810No8,485*
7422-8-898.1Yes9820No12,489*
7322-7-997.0Yes9730No18,203*
7221-9-895.1Yes9550No26,153*
7121-8-992.7Yes93700No36,699*
7020-10-888.9Yes891100No50,505*
6920-9-984.3Yes841510No68,395*
6820-8-1077.9100.0%7820200No91,565*
6719-10-970.2100.07026300No120,617*
6619-9-1060.6100.061336000No155,613*
6519-8-1149.699.9503811100No197,006*
6418-10-1038.099.73842173000No245,246*
6318-9-1126.699.02742247100No300,292*
6217-11-1016.597.1163731123000No362,130*
6117-10-119.092.5929352061000No429,440*
6017-9-124.083.241933281331000No500,251*
5916-11-111.467.5110253122920000No572,502*
5816-10-120.446.50415282917610000No644,268*
5716-9-130.125.301618282614510000No713,528*
5615-11-120.09.9002820282413410000No775,861*
5515-10-130.02.60002921282312410000No831,658*
5415-9-14No0.4000392128231241000000.0%873,168*
5314-11-13No0.0000292128231241000No901,950*
5214-10-14No0.000002920282412410000.0919,413*
5114-9-15NoNo0002819272413410000.0916,603*
5013-11-14NoNo00002819272514410000.1898,401*
4913-10-15NoNo0000281928251441000.9866,962*
4812-12-14NoNo0000281928251341004.7822,320*
4712-11-15NoNo0000292029241230015.4763,651*
4612-10-16NoNo00031023302392034.3696,873*
4511-12-15NoNo00014132631206156.9626,518*
4411-11-16NoNo0001517303014276.5553,968*
4311-10-17NoNo00029243524689.2477,137*
4210-12-16NoNo00141533341395.7405,541*
4110-11-17NoNo001827412398.6337,432*
4010-10-18NoNo000419433499.6275,784*
399-12-17NoNo00212404699.9220,168*
389-11-18NoNo00173458100.0173,827*
379-10-19NoNo0042769100.0133,479*
368-12-18NoNo0022078100.0100,616*
358-11-19NoNo011585Yes74,409*
348-10-20NoNo001090Yes53,995*
337-12-19NoNo0793Yes38,344*
327-11-20NoNo0496Yes26,284*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes17,671*
306-12-20NoNo199Yes11,943*
296-11-21NoNo199Yes7,574*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes4,829*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes2,903*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,774*
255-10-23NoNo100Yes1,061*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes575*
0-23NoNo100Yes2,833*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%17,386,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship