How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.3-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
América-MG vs Portuguesa+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.1-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
ABC vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Joinville*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Icasa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Ceará vs Luverdense*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
América-RN vs Icasa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Oeste vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vila Nova vs Náutico*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.0-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Náutico vs América-MG-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.2-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Icasa vs América-MG-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.3-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Oeste vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Náutico vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
ABC vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Joinville vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the América-MG finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
80-114YesYes100No4,318*
7924-7-799.7%Yes1000No1,483*
7823-9-699.3Yes991No2,408*
7723-8-799.4Yes991No3,701*
7623-7-899.2Yes991No5,669*
7522-9-798.7Yes991No8,186*
7422-8-897.9Yes9820No12,483*
7322-7-996.5Yes9730No18,243*
7221-9-895.0Yes9550No26,013*
7121-8-992.5Yes9370No36,816*
7020-10-889.2Yes891000No50,418*
6920-9-984.6Yes851510No68,436*
6820-8-1078.2100.0%7820200No91,977*
6719-10-970.3100.070263000No120,285*
6619-9-1060.5100.061336100No154,897*
6519-8-1149.799.9503811100No196,748*
6418-10-1037.999.73842173000No245,231*
6318-9-1126.799.027422461000No300,494*
6217-11-1016.697.1173731123000No361,671*
6117-10-119.092.5929352061000No429,135*
6017-9-124.183.141933281331000No500,480*
5916-11-111.467.5110253122920000No572,895*
5816-10-120.446.5041528291761000No644,494*
5716-9-130.125.30161828261451000No712,749*
5615-11-120.010.1002820282413410000No778,173*
5515-10-130.02.6000292128231241000No829,895*
5415-9-14No0.40003921282312410000No872,548*
5314-11-13No0.0000392028231241000No903,919*
5214-10-14No0.0000029202824124100000.0%916,980*
5114-9-15NoNo0002819272413410000.0917,887*
5013-11-14NoNo000281927251441000.1899,613*
4913-10-15NoNo00002819282514410000.9868,452*
4812-12-14NoNo000281928251341004.7821,018*
4712-11-15NoNo000292029241230015.4764,156*
4612-10-16NoNo0000310233023102034.4697,420*
4511-12-15NoNo00014132631206157.1627,134*
4411-11-16NoNo0001517303014276.3552,213*
4311-10-17NoNo0029243524689.2476,987*
4210-12-16NoNo00041533341395.8405,601*
4110-11-17NoNo0001827412298.6337,956*
4010-10-18NoNo000419433499.6275,724*
399-12-17NoNo00212404799.9220,875*
389-11-18NoNo00173458100.0173,465*
379-10-19NoNo0042769100.0133,615*
368-12-18NoNo0022178100.0100,338*
358-11-19NoNo0011584100.074,184*
348-10-20NoNo001090Yes53,800*
337-12-19NoNo0793Yes37,929*
327-11-20NoNo0496Yes26,126*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes17,675*
306-12-20NoNo0199Yes11,946*
296-11-21NoNo199Yes7,594*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes4,870*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes2,908*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,774*
24-25NoNo100Yes1,626*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes316*
0-22NoNo100Yes2,493*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%17,386,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship