SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.2-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Oeste vs Avaí+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.1
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.1
Ceará vs Luverdense*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
América-MG vs Portuguesa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
América-RN vs Icasa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
ABC vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vila Nova vs Náutico*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Náutico vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Joinville*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs Paraná+1.5-1.1-2.1
+4.3-3.2-6.2
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Oeste vs Ceará+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Luverdense vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
ABC vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Icasa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Oeste finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
81-114YesYes100No3,413*
8024-8-699.9%Yes1000No867*
7924-7-799.5Yes1000No1,520*
7823-9-699.8Yes1000No2,364*
7723-8-799.7Yes1000No3,608*
7623-7-899.2Yes991No5,527*
7522-9-798.5Yes9910No8,428*
7422-8-897.6Yes9820No12,509*
7322-7-996.7Yes9730No18,482*
7221-9-895.2Yes9550No26,528*
7121-8-992.4Yes9270No36,494*
7020-10-888.9Yes891100No50,549*
6920-9-984.4Yes841510No68,645*
6820-8-1078.0Yes782020No91,691*
6719-10-970.4100.0%7026300No120,432*
6619-9-1060.4100.060336000No155,255*
6519-8-1149.999.9503810100No197,323*
6418-10-1038.099.73842173000No245,583*
6318-9-1126.699.02742247100No300,981*
6217-11-1016.797.1173731123000No362,618*
6117-10-119.092.5929342061000No429,456*
6017-9-124.183.14193328133100No499,377*
5916-11-111.467.3110253122920000No572,928*
5816-10-120.446.40415282917610000No644,429*
5716-9-130.125.401618282614510000No712,253*
5615-11-120.010.1002820282413410000No775,692*
5515-10-130.02.60002921282312410000No830,513*
5415-9-14No0.4000292128231241000No873,755*
5314-11-13No0.000039212823124100000.0%903,437*
5214-10-14No0.000002920282412410000.0917,020*
5114-9-15No0.000002819272413410000.0916,963*
5013-11-14NoNo0002819272514410000.1898,229*
4913-10-15NoNo0002819282514410000.9867,163*
4812-12-14NoNo0000281928251341004.7821,491*
4712-11-15NoNo000292029241230015.4764,392*
4612-10-16NoNo0000310233023102034.4698,777*
4511-12-15NoNo0014132631206156.9626,571*
4411-11-16NoNo0001517303014276.5552,367*
4311-10-17NoNo00029243524689.2476,584*
4210-12-16NoNo00041533341395.8405,406*
4110-11-17NoNo001827412398.6337,666*
4010-10-18NoNo00419433499.6276,594*
399-12-17NoNo00212404799.9220,427*
389-11-18NoNo0173459100.0173,493*
379-10-19NoNo0042769100.0133,736*
368-12-18NoNo022177Yes101,135*
358-11-19NoNo011584Yes74,537*
348-10-20NoNo001090Yes53,642*
337-12-19NoNo0793Yes37,922*
327-11-20NoNo0496Yes26,333*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes17,885*
306-12-20NoNo0199Yes11,925*
296-11-21NoNo199Yes7,564*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes4,755*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes2,946*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,731*
0-25NoNo100Yes4,529*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%17,386,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2015-2-17 6:15 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)