How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Santa Cruz vs Ceará-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.3-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Ceará vs Luverdense+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Náutico vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Oeste vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Joinville*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
América-MG vs Portuguesa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Vila Nova vs Náutico*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
América-RN vs Icasa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Vasco-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs Ceará-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.3-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
ABC vs Ceará-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.3-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Vasco-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Náutico vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
ABC vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ceará finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
85-114YesYes100No2,283*
8426-6-699.0%Yes991No99*
8325-8-5YesYes100No195*
8225-7-699.7Yes1000No302*
80-81YesYes100No1,472*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No1,529*
7823-9-699.6Yes1000No2,394*
7723-8-799.5Yes991No3,649*
7623-7-899.2Yes991No5,572*
7522-9-798.6Yes991No8,501*
7422-8-898.1Yes9820No12,441*
7322-7-996.7Yes9730No18,329*
7221-9-895.1Yes9550No26,170*
7121-8-992.8Yes9370No36,612*
7020-10-889.0Yes891100No50,855*
6920-9-984.4Yes841510No69,048*
6820-8-1078.1100.0%7820200No91,816*
6719-10-970.1100.07026300No120,893*
6619-9-1060.5100.06133610No155,256*
6519-8-1149.799.9503910100No197,258*
6418-10-1038.099.73842173000No245,619*
6318-9-1126.799.02742246100No300,847*
6217-11-1016.897.11737311230000No362,422*
6117-10-119.092.5929342061000No428,235*
6017-9-124.083.241933281331000No499,832*
5916-11-111.567.411025312292000No572,935*
5816-10-120.446.4041528291761000No643,902*
5716-9-130.125.301618282614510000No712,653*
5615-11-120.010.0002820282413410000No776,680*
5515-10-130.02.60002921282312410000No829,914*
5415-9-14No0.4000392128231241000No872,671*
5314-11-13No0.0000292028231241000No903,318*
5214-10-14No0.00002920282412410000.0%917,132*
5114-9-15NoNo00028192724134100000.0917,771*
5013-11-14NoNo0002819272514410000.1897,924*
4913-10-15NoNo0000281927251441000.9867,775*
4812-12-14NoNo0000281928251341004.7821,820*
4712-11-15NoNo0000292029241230015.4763,184*
4612-10-16NoNo000310233023102034.4698,516*
4511-12-15NoNo00014132631206156.9626,510*
4411-11-16NoNo0001517302914276.4551,901*
4311-10-17NoNo000029243524689.2478,323*
4210-12-16NoNo000041533341395.7405,114*
4110-11-17NoNo0001827412398.6337,492*
4010-10-18NoNo000419433499.6276,253*
399-12-17NoNo00212404699.9221,040*
389-11-18NoNo00173458100.0174,181*
379-10-19NoNo0042769100.0133,486*
368-12-18NoNo022078Yes100,358*
358-11-19NoNo011584Yes74,171*
348-10-20NoNo001090Yes53,688*
337-12-19NoNo0793Yes38,674*
327-11-20NoNo0495Yes26,396*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes17,648*
306-12-20NoNo199Yes11,790*
296-11-21NoNo199Yes7,701*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes4,851*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes2,866*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,774*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes981*
0-24NoNo100Yes3,418*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%17,386,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship