Avaí Futebol Clube Title Chances 2014Season start, title odds unchanged at 5% 0 points 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 5/24 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Série A | 100.0* | Série C | 100.0* | Average seed | | Oeste vs Avaí | -1.2-0.1+3.0 | | -3.4-0.1+8.1 | | +3.2-0.5-7.1 | | -0.7+0.0+1.5 | | | Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa | +1.5-1.1-2.0 | | +4.3-3.2-6.1 | | -4.5+2.9+6.9 | | +0.9-0.6-1.3 | | | Portuguesa vs América-RN | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | ABC vs Paraná | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Vila Nova vs Náutico | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | América-RN vs Icasa | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Luverdense vs Vila Nova | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | | Paraná vs Santa Cruz | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Atlético-GO vs Joinville | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | Náutico vs Atlético-GO | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | Ponte Preta vs Oeste | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Bragantino vs Boa Esporte | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | | Joinville vs Bragantino | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | Vasco vs ABC | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Icasa vs Vasco | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | | Santa Cruz vs Ceará | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | América-MG vs Portuguesa | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | Ceará vs Luverdense | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 5/31 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Série A | 100.0* | Série C | 100.0* | Average seed | | Icasa vs Avaí | -1.2-0.1+3.0 | | -3.4-0.1+8.1 | | +3.2-0.4-7.1 | | -0.7+0.0+1.5 | | | Náutico vs Avaí | -1.2-0.1+3.0 | | -3.4-0.1+8.1 | | +3.2-0.4-7.1 | | -0.7+0.0+1.5 | | | Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | | Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | | Náutico vs América-MG | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Oeste vs Ceará | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Icasa vs América-MG | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Luverdense vs América-RN | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | Joinville vs América-RN | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Portuguesa vs Vasco | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Joinville vs Vila Nova | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Oeste vs Paraná | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Luverdense vs Paraná | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | | Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | ABC vs Ceará | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | ABC vs Bragantino | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | | Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Avaí finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | Série | Chance will finish season at seed | Série | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | A | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | C | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | -114 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,361 | * | | 79 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.7 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,422 | * | | 78 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,276 | * | | 77 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,684 | * | | 76 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,576 | * | | 75 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 98.6 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,434 | * | | 74 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 97.9 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,511 | * | | 73 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 96.8 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,253 | * | | 72 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 94.8 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,018 | * | | 71 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 92.6 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 36,541 | * | | 70 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 89.0 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,499 | * | | 69 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 84.3 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68,255 | * | | 68 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 78.2 | | 100.0 | % | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 91,787 | * | | 67 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 70.1 | | 100.0 | | 70 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,823 | * | | 66 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 60.7 | | 100.0 | | 61 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 155,948 | * | | 65 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 49.6 | | 99.9 | | 50 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 196,534 | * | | 64 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 37.9 | | 99.7 | | 38 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 245,307 | * | | 63 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 26.7 | | 99.0 | | 27 | 42 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 299,356 | * | | 62 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 16.7 | | 97.1 | | 17 | 37 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 362,236 | * | | 61 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 9.0 | | 92.5 | | 9 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 429,107 | * | | 60 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 4.0 | | 83.1 | | 4 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 499,579 | * | | 59 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 1.4 | | 67.4 | | 1 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 572,086 | * | | 58 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.4 | | 46.4 | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 645,777 | * | | 57 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.1 | | 25.3 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 712,325 | * | | 56 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 10.0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 776,483 | * | | 55 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 2.6 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 830,654 | * | | 54 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 873,257 | * | | 53 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 903,196 | * | | 52 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 918,155 | * | | 51 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 916,972 | * | | 50 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 899,019 | * | | 49 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.9 | | 865,254 | * | | 48 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.7 | | 821,670 | * | | 47 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15.5 | | 764,694 | * | | 46 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34.4 | | 698,559 | * | | 45 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 57.0 | | 627,957 | * | | 44 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 76.4 | | 552,710 | * | | 43 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 89.1 | | 478,413 | * | | 42 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 34 | 13 | 95.8 | | 405,360 | * | | 41 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 41 | 23 | 98.6 | | 337,006 | * | | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 34 | 99.6 | | 275,725 | * | | 39 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 47 | 99.9 | | 220,580 | * | | 38 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 59 | 100.0 | | 173,805 | * | | 37 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 69 | 100.0 | | 133,337 | * | | 36 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 78 | 100.0 | | 101,142 | * | | 35 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | Yes | 74,531 | * | | 34 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | Yes | 53,792 | * | | 33 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 38,238 | * | | 32 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 95 | Yes | 26,435 | * | | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 17,694 | * | | 30 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 11,695 | * | | 29 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 7,613 | * | | 28 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 4,698 | * | | 27 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,016 | * | | 26 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,759 | * | | 25 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 937 | * | | 0 | -24 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 3,389 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 5.0 | % | 20.0 | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20.0 | % | 17,386,440 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |