How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.2-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Joinville*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Ceará vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Icasa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
América-MG vs Portuguesa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
ABC vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Náutico vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
América-RN vs Icasa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Oeste vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vila Nova vs Náutico*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova+1.5-1.1-2.1
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.1-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
ABC vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Náutico vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs América-RN-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
ABC vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Icasa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boa Esporte finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
85-114YesYes100No2,275*
8426-6-699.0%Yes991No101*
81-83YesYes100No1,075*
8024-8-699.4Yes991No970*
7924-7-799.9Yes1000No1,464*
7823-9-699.8Yes1000No2,231*
7723-8-799.6Yes1000No3,587*
7623-7-899.3Yes991No5,699*
7522-9-798.7Yes991No8,481*
7422-8-898.0Yes9820No12,496*
7322-7-996.7Yes9730No18,320*
7221-9-895.1Yes9550No26,113*
7121-8-992.5Yes9270No36,577*
7020-10-889.1Yes891000No50,224*
6920-9-984.3Yes841510No68,438*
6820-8-1078.2Yes782020No91,779*
6719-10-970.1100.0%7026300No119,779*
6619-9-1060.7100.06133610No155,585*
6519-8-1149.899.9503810100No196,875*
6418-10-1038.299.73842173000No245,811*
6318-9-1126.799.027422471000No299,938*
6217-11-1016.797.1173731123000No362,546*
6117-10-119.092.4929342061000No429,222*
6017-9-124.183.24193228133100No499,644*
5916-11-111.567.511025312292000No572,468*
5816-10-120.446.4041528291761000No644,588*
5716-9-130.125.301618282614510000No713,018*
5615-11-120.010.0002820282413410000No776,327*
5515-10-130.02.60002921282312410000No829,828*
5415-9-14No0.40003921282312410000No873,405*
5314-11-13No0.000039202823124100000.0%904,618*
5214-10-14No0.00002920282412410000.0918,356*
5114-9-15NoNo0002819272413410000.0916,923*
5013-11-14NoNo00002819272513410000.1900,033*
4913-10-15NoNo0000281927251441000.9866,489*
4812-12-14NoNo000281928251341004.7820,632*
4712-11-15NoNo000292029241230015.4763,493*
4612-10-16NoNo0000310223023102034.3699,371*
4511-12-15NoNo00014132631206156.9626,450*
4411-11-16NoNo0001517302914276.3552,627*
4311-10-17NoNo00029243424689.1477,865*
4210-12-16NoNo00041533341395.7404,981*
4110-11-17NoNo001827412398.6337,736*
4010-10-18NoNo000419433499.6276,174*
399-12-17NoNo00212404799.9220,784*
389-11-18NoNo00173459100.0173,268*
379-10-19NoNo0042769100.0133,644*
368-12-18NoNo0022078100.0100,535*
358-11-19NoNo011585Yes74,435*
348-10-20NoNo001090Yes53,469*
337-12-19NoNo00793Yes38,350*
327-11-20NoNo0496Yes26,253*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes17,691*
306-12-20NoNo298Yes11,862*
296-11-21NoNo199Yes7,672*
286-10-22NoNo0100Yes4,784*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes2,941*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,723*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes1,001*
0-24NoNo100Yes3,416*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%17,386,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship