SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

You could

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vasco vs ABC-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.3-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
ABC vs Paraná+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Ceará vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
América-RN vs Icasa-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Atlético-GO vs Joinville*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
América-MG vs Portuguesa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vila Nova vs Náutico-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.1
Luverdense vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Oeste vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
ABC vs Ceará+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
ABC vs Bragantino+1.5-1.1-2.1
+4.3-3.1-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Icasa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Joinville vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Náutico vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Oeste vs Paraná*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Joinville vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the ABC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
81-114YesYes100No3,463*
8024-8-699.9%Yes1000No933*
7924-7-799.7Yes1000No1,570*
7823-9-699.7Yes1000No2,251*
7723-8-799.5Yes1000No3,680*
7623-7-899.3Yes9910No5,501*
7522-9-798.9Yes991No8,447*
7422-8-897.9Yes982No12,587*
7322-7-996.9Yes9730No18,023*
7221-9-895.0Yes95500No26,380*
7121-8-992.6Yes9370No36,583*
7020-10-889.1Yes891000No50,329*
6920-9-984.4100.0%8415100No68,418*
6820-8-1078.0100.07820200No91,853*
6719-10-970.4100.07026300No120,223*
6619-9-1060.5100.060336000No155,294*
6519-8-1149.799.95038111000No196,272*
6418-10-1038.299.73842173000No245,094*
6318-9-1126.799.02742247100No300,031*
6217-11-1016.697.0173731123000No362,479*
6117-10-119.092.5929342061000No430,237*
6017-9-124.183.141933281331000No500,264*
5916-11-111.467.3110253122920000No572,305*
5816-10-120.446.40415282917610000No643,163*
5716-9-130.125.301618282614510000No712,667*
5615-11-120.010.000282028241341000No776,484*
5515-10-130.02.6000292128231241000No832,497*
5415-9-14No0.40003921282312410000No873,028*
5314-11-13No0.0000039212823124100000.0%902,259*
5214-10-14No0.00002920282412410000.0918,364*
5114-9-15NoNo0002819272413410000.0915,807*
5013-11-14NoNo0002819272514410000.1900,719*
4913-10-15NoNo000281928251441000.9867,267*
4812-12-14NoNo0000281928251341004.6821,636*
4712-11-15NoNo000292029241230015.5764,559*
4612-10-16NoNo0000310233023102034.4699,176*
4511-12-15NoNo00014132631206157.0626,982*
4411-11-16NoNo0001517313014276.5550,577*
4311-10-17NoNo00029243524689.2477,559*
4210-12-16NoNo00141533341395.7405,749*
4110-11-17NoNo001827412398.6337,326*
4010-10-18NoNo000419433499.6275,499*
399-12-17NoNo000212404799.9221,244*
389-11-18NoNo0173459100.0172,779*
379-10-19NoNo0042769100.0133,591*
368-12-18NoNo0022078100.0101,396*
358-11-19NoNo0011584100.074,175*
348-10-20NoNo001090Yes53,839*
337-12-19NoNo0793Yes38,018*
327-11-20NoNo0496Yes26,156*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes18,000*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes11,945*
296-11-21NoNo199Yes7,693*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes4,850*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes3,048*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,712*
0-25NoNo100Yes4,459*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%17,386,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2015-2-17 6:15 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)