How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova vs Náutico-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.3-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Náutico vs Atlético-GO+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Ceará vs Luverdense*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Icasa vs Vasco-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Avaí vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
América-MG vs Portuguesa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Paraná vs Santa Cruz*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Oeste*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Bragantino vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ceará-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Vasco vs ABC*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Joinville vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Portuguesa vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
América-RN vs Icasa*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Joinville*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Oeste vs Avaí*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Náutico vs Avaí+1.5-1.2-2.1
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Náutico vs América-MG+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Luverdense vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Joinville vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Santa Cruz vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Vasco*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
ABC vs Ceará*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Paraná*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Ponte Preta*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Icasa vs América-MG*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Atlético-GO*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Joinville vs América-RN*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Portuguesa vs Vasco-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
ABC vs Bragantino*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Sampaio Corrêa*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Icasa vs Avaí-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Santa Cruz vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Oeste vs Ceará-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Náutico finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
81-114YesYes100No3,501*
8024-8-699.7%Yes1000No929*
7924-7-7YesYes100No1,411*
7823-9-699.7Yes1000No2,307*
7723-8-799.4Yes991No3,635*
7623-7-899.2Yes991No5,754*
7522-9-798.8Yes991No8,562*
7422-8-898.0Yes9820No12,248*
7322-7-996.6Yes9730No18,218*
7221-9-895.1Yes9550No26,421*
7121-8-992.6Yes9370No36,733*
7020-10-889.5Yes891000No50,689*
6920-9-984.3Yes841510No68,740*
6820-8-1078.3Yes782020No91,665*
6719-10-970.3100.0%7026300No121,008*
6619-9-1060.5100.06033610No155,983*
6519-8-1149.699.9503811100No197,193*
6418-10-1037.999.7384217300No245,842*
6318-9-1126.699.027422471000No300,384*
6217-11-1016.697.1173731123000No361,340*
6117-10-119.092.5929352061000No429,666*
6017-9-124.083.14193328133100No500,675*
5916-11-111.467.3110253122920000No573,212*
5816-10-120.446.4041528291761000No645,614*
5716-9-130.125.301618282614510000No713,954*
5615-11-120.010.0002820282413410000No776,877*
5515-10-130.02.6000292128231241000No832,211*
5415-9-14No0.40002921282312410000No875,070*
5314-11-13No0.0000292028231241000No903,524*
5214-10-14No0.000002920282412410000.0%917,565*
5114-9-15No0.000002819272413410000.0915,936*
5013-11-14NoNo0000281927251441000.1897,750*
4913-10-15NoNo0002819272514410000.9865,381*
4812-12-14NoNo0000281928251341004.7820,552*
4712-11-15NoNo000292029241230015.4764,129*
4612-10-16NoNo0000310233023102034.3697,495*
4511-12-15NoNo00014132631206156.9625,872*
4411-11-16NoNo0001517302914276.4552,985*
4311-10-17NoNo00029243524689.1477,742*
4210-12-16NoNo000041533341395.8405,243*
4110-11-17NoNo0001827412398.6336,663*
4010-10-18NoNo000419433499.6275,156*
399-12-17NoNo00212404699.9220,180*
389-11-18NoNo00173458100.0173,452*
379-10-19NoNo0042769100.0132,827*
368-12-18NoNo0022178100.0101,257*
358-11-19NoNo011584Yes74,186*
348-10-20NoNo01089Yes53,558*
337-12-19NoNo0793Yes38,264*
327-11-20NoNo0496Yes26,230*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes17,538*
306-12-20NoNo298Yes11,751*
296-11-21NoNo0199Yes7,517*
286-10-22NoNo199Yes4,716*
275-12-21NoNo0100Yes2,933*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes1,787*
255-10-23NoNo100Yes1,021*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes560*
234-11-23NoNo199Yes304*
0-22NoNo100Yes2,524*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%17,386,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship