"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Otago 30 Tasman 27 -5.9
-7.0
+0.1
-0.2
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 +4.0
-1.6
+0.1
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 -1.5
-0.5
-0.0
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 +1.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Auckland vs Waikato+1.0+3.0-2.0
-0.2+2.6+0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.2+0.8+2.3
-0.2+0.9+2.6
-0.0+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki+1.0+0.7-0.7
+1.8+1.3-1.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tasman vs Northland+3.8-6.9-25.1
+1.7-4.7-10.6
-0.2+0.1+1.6
+0.1-0.2-0.7
Waikato vs Taranaki-1.6+3.6+1.3
+0.3+2.2-0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Manawatu vs Canterbury+1.3+0.1-0.6
+1.0+0.1-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Auckland vs Counties Manukau-0.0+0.2+0.0
-1.0+1.8+2.2
Otago vs North Harbour+0.1-0.1-0.8
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty-0.7+0.8+2.6
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+0.2+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Tasman finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal1234567RelegatedCount
326-000In98.5%3555100No24,743,328
305-001100.0%91.319602010No5,953,684
285-01098.846.7328491910No124,348,693
4-00299.554.643449131No580,237
264-01196.819.5117503030No23,257,847
3-00397.020.3117502930No29,413
244-02068.00.60116513110No220,462,983
3-01271.30.9011852281No1,687,002
2-00477.81.112354211No823
223-02147.50.0006414570No30,680,004
2-01350.30.00743446No59,996
1-00581.3No1369136No16
203-03011.20.0001159300No173,213,485
2-02211.4No001158300No1,561,961
1-01411.9No01256320No1,014
182-0313.0No03395710.0%16,924,813
1-0234.0No0443521No34,830
0-015OutNo432929No7
162-0400.2No00197650.063,363,498
1-0320.1No0177850.1541,310
0-024OutNo17803No296
141-0410.0No0479171.63,916,937
0-033OutNo580151.55,580
121-050OutNo1673214.910,444,328
0-042OutNo0673315.959,529
100-051OutNo0435756.8310,515
80-060OutNo217991.3744,931
Total:51.6%13.4%281625291810.4%702,927,060
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
Otago 30 Tasman 27 +0.5
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 -0.1
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Auckland vs Waikato-0.0-0.2+0.1
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Tasman vs Northland-0.2+0.5+1.5
Waikato vs Taranaki+0.0-0.2-0.0
Otago vs North Harbour-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD1234567891011121314
326-000126502120
305-0010941428000
285-0100193740110010
4-002011242378001
264-011021845294030
3-003021845284030
244-0200019332243110
3-0120112362032810
2-00411737202211
223-0210011322114580
2-013021523104460
1-005383113136
203-03000147533330
2-0220147533330
1-01414751352
182-031000328541500
1-0230133151140
0-015292943
162-04000074146600
1-0320074147500
0-024636517
141-0410015582520
0-033115572610
121-050012857140
0-04213054151
100-05104404710
80-06095140
Total:014812149327146200