How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 -4.0
-0.1
+4.5
-0.1
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 -1.2
+0.8
-0.1
Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 -0.5
-1.6
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-1.2+1.2+13.5
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+4.1-0.9-2.6
-18.4-6.4+11.8
+0.4-0.0-0.2
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay+1.8-1.5-2.4
-20.2+3.9+26.5
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Otago vs North Harbour+0.2-1.1-1.3
-0.0+0.2+0.2
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty+0.2-0.9-0.9
-0.4+1.2+1.3
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Manawatu vs Canterbury-0.8+0.1+0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Tasman vs Northland+0.0-0.0-0.1
-1.4+3.7+8.7
+0.0-0.1-0.2
Auckland vs Counties Manukau-0.0+0.1+0.1
Waikato vs Taranaki+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Southland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal1234567RelegatedCount
246-00099.9%16.2%0345880No455,331
225-00197.50.309622720No187,260
205-01087.60.023749120No6,556,851
4-00283.3No13250160No40,572
184-01155.1No0114440500.0%2,791,305
3-00360.1No01446364No4,288
164-02027.2No0225581500.047,387,413
3-01221.4No0120592000.0434,060
2-00420.3No1195822No222
143-0214.7No05455000.614,299,625
2-0135.9No06484600.730,790
1-00518.2No185527No11
123-0300.6No01306815.3154,664,139
2-0220.3No00237426.51,464,653
1-0140.2No0168049.0984
102-0310.0No0685921.830,258,213
1-0230.0No07831026.660,666
0-015OutNo10033.33
82-040OutNo2781954.6229,616,718
1-032OutNo1742557.71,805,411
0-024OutNo712959.7921
61-041OutNo514981.726,060,190
0-033OutNo465487.233,696
41-050OutNo2476Yes146,246,388
0-042OutNo138798.9693,075
0-2OutNo100Yes39,834,275*
Total:3.2%0.0%001313533149.7%702,927,060

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 +0.3
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.0+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay-0.5+0.2+0.7
Southland vs Bay of Plenty-0.7-0.1+0.4
Tasman vs Northland-0.0+0.1+0.2
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty-0.0+0.1+0.1
Otago vs North Harbour-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD1234567891011121314
246-00001154034900
225-001006324712200
205-01000840399300
4-0020637401240
184-01100124311231110
3-00301545112180
164-02002255293360
3-01201204293780
2-0041194273811
143-02105011463810
2-0130601246351
1-00518973
123-0300102316150
2-0220002256660
1-01402197090
102-03100672211
1-02300667252
0-0156733
82-040045478
1-0320424810
0-024404713
61-041185428
0-033134839
41-0503367
0-04212277
0-2100
Total:00000120310332623