Week of 9/8 |
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 |
Fri | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | +0.7 | | -0.6 | | | | | |
Auckland | +2.6 | | -1.1 | | | | +0.1 | |
Taranaki | +3.1 | | -1.0 | | | | +0.1 | |
Waikato | +3.6 | | -0.7 | | | | +0.1 | |
Tasman | +4.0 | | -1.6 | | | | +0.1 | |
Counties Manukau | -14.0 | | -11.0 | | +0.5 | | -0.5 | |
Hawke’s Bay | | | | | -0.1 | | | |
|
Otago 30 Tasman 27 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | +0.3 | | +0.6 | | | | +0.0 | |
Auckland | +1.1 | | +0.9 | | | | +0.1 | |
Taranaki | +1.4 | | +0.8 | | | | +0.1 | |
Waikato | +1.8 | | +0.6 | | | | +0.1 | |
Tasman | -5.9 | | -7.0 | | +0.1 | | -0.2 | |
Counties Manukau | +1.3 | | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | |
|
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | | | -0.0 | |
Auckland | -0.9 | | -0.6 | | | | -0.0 | |
Taranaki | +5.1 | | +3.6 | | -0.3 | | +0.2 | |
Waikato | -1.3 | | -0.4 | | | | -0.0 | |
Tasman | -1.5 | | -0.5 | | | | -0.0 | |
Counties Manukau | -1.2 | | -0.3 | | -0.1 | | -0.0 | |
Hawke’s Bay | | | | | -1.3 | | | |
|
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | | | +0.9 | | | | | |
Auckland | | | +1.7 | | | | | |
Taranaki | | | +1.3 | | | | | |
Waikato | | | +1.2 | | | | | |
Tasman | | | +1.4 | | | | | |
Counties Manukau | | | +0.4 | | | | | |
Hawke’s Bay | | | | | +0.8 | | | |
|
Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 |
Fri | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Hawke’s Bay | | | | | -1.1 | | | |
|
Auckland vs WaikatoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | |
Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | 96.996.397.0 | | 83.482.183.8 | | | | 1.71.71.6 | |
Auckland | 90.477.866.1 | | 59.338.723.6 | | | | 2.63.23.8 | |
Taranaki | 78.777.178.1 | | 40.942.042.5 | | | | | |
Waikato | 55.368.684.5 | | 16.628.747.5 | | 0.30.10.0 | | 4.23.63.0 | |
Tasman | 52.654.649.6 | | 13.216.013.6 | | | | 4.34.24.3 | |
Counties Manukau | 25.825.524.6 | | 5.56.05.9 | | | | | |
|
Counties Manukau vs TaranakiHomeDrawAway | |
Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | 96.796.997.0 | | 84.483.482.9 | | | | | |
Auckland | 80.980.981.7 | | 48.447.144.2 | | | | | |
Taranaki | 63.176.289.3 | | 24.636.453.6 | | | | 3.83.32.7 | |
Waikato | 65.365.466.8 | | 29.528.626.9 | | | | | |
Tasman | 52.652.350.9 | | 15.214.712.0 | | | | | |
Counties Manukau | 41.228.014.1 | | 11.45.01.7 | | 0.00.20.8 | | 4.65.05.5 | |
Hawke’s Bay | | | | | 64.864.864.7 | | | |
|
Canterbury vs Hawke’s BayHomeDrawAway | |
Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | 97.694.289.4 | | 85.573.863.3 | | | | 1.62.12.3 | |
Auckland | 81.382.082.3 | | 45.648.349.3 | | | | 3.12.92.9 | |
Taranaki | 78.479.079.1 | | 41.243.644.4 | | | | 3.23.13.0 | |
Waikato | 66.166.967.0 | | 27.729.830.6 | | 0.20.20.3 | | 3.73.63.6 | |
Tasman | 51.452.453.9 | | 13.114.316.0 | | 0.30.50.7 | | 4.34.34.2 | |
Counties Manukau | 25.2*25.427.1 | | 5.65.87.0 | | 0.41.01.2 | | | |
Hawke’s Bay | 0.10.31.2 | | 0.00.00.1 | | 67.354.938.3 | | 7.06.96.8 | |
|
Week of 9/15 |
Waikato vs TaranakiIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | |
Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | 96.896.397.0 | | 83.782.183.4 | | | | 1.61.71.7 | |
Auckland | 80.780.982.0 | | 46.647.445.4 | | | | | |
Taranaki | 65.577.890.7 | | 25.138.157.2 | | | | 3.83.22.6 | |
Waikato | 81.964.451.3 | | 42.724.714.2 | | 0.00.10.3 | | 3.13.84.3 | |
Tasman | 50.055.252.9 | | 13.615.613.0 | | | | 4.34.24.3 | |
Counties Manukau | 24.825.325.9 | | 5.95.85.5 | | | | | |
Hawke’s Bay | | | | | 64.864.864.7 | | | |
|
Tasman vs NorthlandHomeDrawAway | |
Fri | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | 96.797.497.9 | | 83.384.384.8 | | | | 1.71.61.6 | |
Auckland | 80.681.686.3 | | 45.746.247.6 | | | | 3.13.12.9 | |
Taranaki | 77.679.084.1 | | 41.341.843.3 | | | | 3.23.23.0 | |
Waikato | 65.067.073.9 | | 27.828.329.5 | | 0.20.20.3 | | 3.83.73.5 | |
Tasman | 55.444.726.5 | | 15.08.72.7 | | 0.10.42.0 | | 4.24.55.0 | |
Counties Manukau | 24.430.031.2 | | 5.66.16.2 | | 0.40.61.1 | | 5.15.04.9 | |
Hawke’s Bay | 0.20.20.3 | | | | 63.365.074.7 | | | |
|
Auckland vs Counties ManukauHomeDrawAway | |
Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | 96.996.996.8 | | 83.183.784.5 | | | | 1.71.71.6 | |
Auckland | 89.277.564.0 | | 55.938.324.2 | | | | 2.73.23.8 | |
Taranaki | 78.977.677.5 | | 40.342.344.2 | | | | | |
Waikato | 66.765.065.1 | | 27.028.730.1 | | | | | |
Tasman | 51.651.851.6 | | 12.415.215.5 | | | | | |
Counties Manukau | 16.531.044.8 | | 2.16.013.8 | | 0.70.10.0 | | 5.44.94.4 | |
|
Manawatu vs CanterburyHomeDrawAway | |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | 93.196.598.8 | | 69.380.290.6 | | 0.00.0No | | 2.11.91.4 | |
Auckland | 81.981.681.1 | | 46.547.745.7 | | | | 3.03.03.1 | |
Taranaki | 78.878.678.3 | | 42.043.141.2 | | | | 3.13.13.2 | |
Waikato | 66.766.465.9 | | 28.429.427.7 | | | | 3.63.73.8 | |
Tasman | 52.951.751.0 | | 14.413.512.9 | | | | 4.24.34.3 | |
Counties Manukau | 26.325.024.9 | | 6.35.35.4 | | | | | |
Hawke’s Bay | | | | | 65.065.064.6 | | | |
|
Southland vs Hawke’s BayHomeDrawAway | |
Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Waikato | 66.266.266.1 | | | | | | | |
Counties Manukau | | | | | 0.50.80.5 | | | |
Hawke’s Bay | 0.00.10.4 | | | | 84.860.138.3 | | | |
|
Otago vs North HarbourHomeDrawAway | |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | | | 83.882.981.7 | | | | | |
Auckland | | | 46.344.844.2 | | | | | |
Taranaki | | | 41.840.439.9 | | | | | |
Waikato | | | 28.227.126.6 | | | | | |
Tasman | | | 13.513.212.6 | | | | | |
Counties Manukau | | | 5.8*5.74.9 | | | | | |
Hawke’s Bay | | | | | 64.764.864.9 | | | |
|
Wellington vs Bay of PlentyHomeDrawAway | |
Fri | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | | | 83.184.585.2 | | | | | |
Auckland | | | 44.945.650.3 | | | | | |
Taranaki | | | 40.641.045.3 | | | | | |
Waikato | | | 27.227.731.2 | | | | | |
Tasman | | | 12.714.216.0 | | | | | |
Counties Manukau | | | 5.46.66.6 | | | | | |
Hawke’s Bay | | | | | 64.465.365.9 | | | |
|
Southland vs Bay of PlentyHomeDrawAway | |
Wed | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
Canterbury | | | 83.783.683.4 | | | | | |
Auckland | | | 46.2*46.045.8 | | | | | |
Taranaki | | | 41.8*41.541.4 | | | | | |
Waikato | | | 28.2*28.027.9 | | | | | |
Tasman | | | 13.613.513.2 | | 0.50.30.3 | | | |
Counties Manukau | | | 5.85.85.6 | | 0.70.50.3 | | | |
Hawke’s Bay | | | | | 71.070.460.6 | | | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.