Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsHome QuarterfinalChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGW-OTLDGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Crusaders1213-0002896.8%+0.177.5%-0.13614621953211000003.1-0.105.631ChiefsCrusaders
HurricanesWHighlanders 25-22133-0101892.6+11.462.0+21.821105261386432110004.2+1.471.588Hurricanes
RebelsBrumbies822-0001287.7-0.167.2-1.31421283555543211004.2-0.074.588Rebels
Bulls912-0104077.9+0.337.9-0.1713108111110875432105.8+0.032.544SharksBulls
Sharks1112-0104977.4-0.335.8-1.7612108111110976432105.9-0.0711.544at BullsSharks
Stormers812-010-3070.5+0.628.7-0.85987111111987643106.6+0.012.544Stormers
HighlandersLHurricanes 22-25102-020066.7-11.518.7-16.4332111412121198653217.2-1.218.500Highlanders
Jaguares912-0101064.2-0.323.8-0.93776911101098754217.1-0.0410.544at LionsJaguares
Waratahs521-010053.2+0.622.4+0.3261146789109976427.9+0.057.500RedsWaratahs
Brumbiesat Rebels611-020035.5-0.19.5-0.302524589111212119739.4-0.019.456Brumbies
Sunwolves511-020-2128.1-0.17.8-0.10151346891112121210510.114.456at BluesSunwolves
Lions511-020-1126.1-0.14.9-0.20122356791012131310610.46.456JaguaresLions
Reds120-020-1513.7-0.23.1-0.10120123468101316181511.7-0.0212.413at WaratahsReds
Blues210-030-257.1-0.00.5-0.1000011234691217212312.613.369SunwolvesBlues
Chiefs110-030-552.6-0.20.2-0.000000011235814234313.6-0.0415.369at CrusadersChiefs

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/8
Hurricanes 25 Highlanders 22
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Hurricanes+5.4
+7.9
+0.6
Sharks+0.1
Highlanders-5.1
-8.1
-0.6
Waratahs-0.1
Lions vs JaguaresIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders77.977.976.9
Hurricanes62.5*62.161.2
Bulls39.0*38.236.4
5.8*5.85.9
Sharks36.9*35.934.4
5.95.96.0
Stormers29.730.027.5
6.66.56.6
Highlanders66.965.666.4
19.0*18.518.3
7.27.37.2
Jaguares54.766.776.2
16.422.733.1
8.07.06.1
Brumbies35.734.235.1
9.49.59.4
Lions34.224.115.9
7.33.62.0
9.610.511.3
Waratahs vs RedsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Rebels87.688.387.9
66.270.870.1
4.24.04.0
Stormers70.371.670.9
6.66.56.6
Highlanders66.466.167.4
18.6*18.619.0
7.27.37.2
Waratahs59.048.337.3
26.017.012.6
7.48.49.3
Brumbies35.234.936.3
9.39.210.2
9.49.59.4
Sunwolves27.828.628.7
7.68.48.5
Reds9.915.624.0
1.9*3.26.5
12.211.410.6
Rebels vs BrumbiesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Rebels91.087.277.2
72.566.450.7
3.84.35.4
Bulls78.1*77.877.2
Sharks77.676.876.7
Stormers70.770.969.7
Highlanders67.0*66.765.9
Jaguares64.5*64.563.5
Waratahs53.4*53.152.4
21.5*22.125.2
Brumbies30.135.952.6
5.910.120.7
9.99.47.9
Sunwolves28.2*28.027.6
7.4*7.79.2
Bulls vs SharksHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Bulls83.975.565.5
45.631.122.1
5.26.27.1
Sharks72.2*77.688.2
28.038.151.8
6.55.84.7
Jaguares64.165.064.4
23.825.723.6
7.17.07.1
Blues vs SunwolvesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Rebels88.188.187.2
68.568.365.6
4.14.14.2
Bulls78.3*78.277.4
Sharks77.9*77.376.7
Stormers71.071.269.7
Highlanders67.266.366.1
Jaguares64.864.863.5
Waratahs53.7*53.552.4
23.0*22.521.6
7.97.98.0
Brumbies36.035.134.8
9.89.29.2
Sunwolves19.7*28.438.5
4.76.811.8
10.910.09.1
Lions26.5*26.325.6
Blues10.34.63.1
0.80.20.2
12.013.013.3
Crusaders vs ChiefsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders97.796.192.2
80.273.862.7
3.03.34.1
Hurricanes61.3*61.865.5
4.3*4.23.9
Bulls37.6*38.139.3
Sharks35.536.637.1
Stormers28.529.430.1
Highlanders18.220.221.7
7.27.27.1
Jaguares23.5*23.924.9
Waratahs22.2*22.423.1
Blues12.612.712.7
Chiefs1.93.56.7
0.10.20.7
13.713.212.7
Week of 3/15
Brumbies vs WaratahsIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Rebels68.770.464.7
4.14.04.3
Stormers*70.571.870.4
28.9*29.028.5
6.66.56.6
Waratahs44.855.867.3
16.321.532.7
8.67.76.7
Brumbies43.727.521.7
12.75.84.0
8.810.110.6
Sunwolves*28.128.928.0
8.18.17.4
Stormers vs JaguaresHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Sharks35.737.535.9
Stormers77.469.456.1
35.125.415.6
6.06.87.9
Jaguares57.369.678.4
17.426.036.9
7.86.85.9
Brumbies35.534.635.4
Highlanders vs CrusadersHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders94.997.898.8
68.280.886.7
3.72.92.6
Hurricanes92.3*92.892.9
61.7*62.162.2
4.14.34.3
Rebels87.288.088.2
Bulls77.278.378.6
Sharks76.576.978.2
36.036.235.6
Stormers69.671.171.3
29.0*29.028.5
Highlanders77.162.556.4
27.314.710.3
6.37.68.1
Jaguares63.364.765.1
Waratahs52.353.854.1
Brumbies34.5*35.536.4
9.59.49.4
Sunwolves27.3*28.428.9
Lions25.426.826.9
Reds13.2*13.814.2
Sunwolves vs RedsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Rebels87.688.587.8
67.069.067.8
4.24.14.1
Stormers70.371.570.7
6.66.56.6
Highlanders66.665.967.1
7.27.37.2
Jaguares64.165.164.5
Brumbies35.434.635.8
9.49.59.4
Sunwolves33.023.515.6
9.65.33.4
9.610.511.4
Reds9.915.523.4
2.0*3.16.1
12.211.410.6
Lions vs RebelsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Rebels82.189.993.3
58.770.875.7
4.93.93.5
Sharks76.9*77.577.8
35.5*35.836.0
Stormers70.071.170.9
28.529.129.0
Highlanders66.366.367.2
Waratahs52.9*53.053.4
25.320.319.5
7.88.08.0
Brumbies35.134.735.8
11.2*9.77.8
Sunwolves27.927.728.2
9.26.96.5
10.110.210.1
Lions35.025.417.2
7.54.12.4
9.610.411.2
Reds3.82.72.5
Chiefs vs HurricanesHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders79.779.276.0
2.93.03.3
Hurricanes87.692.995.9
49.359.570.2
5.04.43.7
Rebels67.867.766.9
Bulls78.1*77.777.7
39.2*38.037.0
Sharks37.336.434.8
Stormers70.670.970.4
30.029.527.9
Highlanders67.0*66.566.5
21.417.717.0
7.17.37.3
Jaguares64.5*64.264.0
24.9*23.823.1
Waratahs53.4*53.253.0
23.0*22.622.0
Chiefs4.82.41.2
13.013.513.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Johkey3 for adding this league.