North Harbour Playoff Chances 2016Beat Manawatu 29-25, playoff odds up 27.5 to 78.6% 9 points 2-0 2 0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 | +17.6 | | +2.0 | | -2.8 | | +0.4 | | Taranaki 30 Southland 14 | +2.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | +0.0 | | Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 | -1.9 | | | | -0.4 | | -0.0 | | Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 | -0.7 | | -0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.6+1.6 | | -0.0+0.2+0.5 | | | | Auckland vs Waikato | | | -0.2+1.3+0.2 | | | | | | Counties Manukau vs Taranaki | | | +0.8+0.6-0.6 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Otago vs North Harbour | -2.2+8.2+13.7 | | -2.2+5.1+14.5 | | +0.1-0.3-0.5 | | -0.1+0.2+0.6 | | Wellington vs Bay of Plenty | +1.8-2.5-6.8 | | -0.4+0.3+1.5 | | | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Manawatu vs Canterbury | -5.1-1.4+2.6 | | +0.7+0.2-0.4 | | | | -0.2-0.0+0.1 | | Southland vs Bay of Plenty | +4.5+2.7-3.0 | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | -0.7+0.8+0.9 | | | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | Tasman vs Northland | +0.1-0.2-0.4 | | -0.1+0.2+0.3 | | -0.1+0.3+0.4 | | | | Auckland vs Counties Manukau | | | -0.5+0.8+1.1 | | | | | | Waikato vs Taranaki | | | +0.1+1.1-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the North Harbour finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | - | OT | | L | | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | 99.2 | % | 17 | 64 | 19 | 0 | | | | No | 5,343,335 | | 30 | | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | 92.4 | | 2 | 53 | 45 | 0 | | | | No | 2,004,856 | | 28 | | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 49.5 | | 1 | 39 | 59 | 2 | 0 | | | No | 60,191,574 | | | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | | 49.3 | | 0 | 39 | 59 | 2 | 0 | | | No | 275,400 | | 26 | | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | | 18.1 | | 0 | 17 | 74 | 9 | 0 | | | No | 15,218,721 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 99.9 | | 18.2 | | 0 | 16 | 74 | 9 | 0 | | | No | 18,259 | | 24 | | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 99.4 | | 0.6 | | 0 | 8 | 69 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | No | 197,145,655 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 99.4 | | 0.6 | | 0 | 8 | 69 | 22 | 1 | | | No | 1,363,756 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | In | 0.7 | | | 8 | 72 | 19 | | | | No | 593 | | 22 | | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 96.3 | | 0.0 | | | 1 | 53 | 42 | 4 | 0 | | No | 31,940,881 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 95.7 | | 0.0 | | | 1 | 51 | 43 | 4 | 0 | | No | 56,716 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | In | No | | 13 | 63 | 25 | | | | No | 8 | | 20 | | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 84.4 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 28 | 56 | 16 | 0 | | No | 223,451,891 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 84.6 | | No | | 0 | 28 | 57 | 15 | 0 | | No | 1,837,812 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 84.6 | | No | | 0 | 26 | 58 | 15 | 0 | | No | 1,082 | | 18 | | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 64.3 | | No | | 0 | 11 | 53 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 24,060,120 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 62.1 | | No | | 0 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 1 | | No | 45,005 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 71.4 | | No | | | 29 | 43 | 29 | | | No | 7 | | 16 | | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 32.0 | | No | | 0 | 2 | 30 | 62 | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | | 107,128,985 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 32.6 | | No | | 0 | 2 | 31 | 62 | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | | 838,177 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 37.0 | | No | | | 2 | 35 | 60 | 3 | | No | 381 | | 14 | | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12.3 | | No | | | 0 | 12 | 68 | 20 | 0 | 1.1 | | 7,124,994 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11.6 | | No | | | 0 | 11 | 65 | 23 | 0 | 1.3 | | 9,417 | | 12 | | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1.4 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 43 | 52 | 3 | 8.5 | | 22,264,630 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1.3 | | No | | | | 1 | 46 | 49 | 4 | 9.2 | | 116,263 | | 10 | | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.1 | | No | | | | 0 | 14 | 63 | 23 | 43.0 | | 705,428 | | 8 | | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | 48 | 52 | 76.6 | | 1,783,114 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 78.6 | % | 5.8 | % | 0 | 7 | 38 | 33 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0.5 | % | 702,927,060 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |