How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 +17.6
+2.0
-2.8
+0.4
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 +2.1
-0.1
-0.3
+0.0
Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 -1.9
-0.4
-0.0
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 -0.7
-0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.6+1.6
-0.0+0.2+0.5
Auckland vs Waikato-0.2+1.3+0.2
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki+0.8+0.6-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Otago vs North Harbour-2.2+8.2+13.7
-2.2+5.1+14.5
+0.1-0.3-0.5
-0.1+0.2+0.6
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty+1.8-2.5-6.8
-0.4+0.3+1.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Manawatu vs Canterbury-5.1-1.4+2.6
+0.7+0.2-0.4
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+4.5+2.7-3.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay-0.7+0.8+0.9
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Tasman vs Northland+0.1-0.2-0.4
-0.1+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.3+0.4
Auckland vs Counties Manukau-0.5+0.8+1.1
Waikato vs Taranaki+0.1+1.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the North Harbour finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal1234567RelegatedCount
326-000In99.2%1764190No5,343,335
305-001In92.4253450No2,004,856
285-010100.0%49.51395920No60,191,574
4-002100.049.30395920No275,400
264-011100.018.10177490No15,218,721
3-00399.918.20167490No18,259
244-02099.40.608692210No197,145,655
3-01299.40.60869221No1,363,756
2-004In0.787219No593
223-02196.30.01534240No31,940,881
2-01395.70.01514340No56,716
1-005InNo136325No8
203-03084.40.002856160No223,451,891
2-02284.6No02857150No1,837,812
1-01484.6No02658150No1,082
182-03164.3No0115335100.0%24,060,120
1-02362.1No01052371No45,005
0-01571.4No294329No7
162-04032.0No023062600.0107,128,985
1-03232.6No023162600.0838,177
0-02437.0No235603No381
141-04112.3No012682001.17,124,994
0-03311.6No011652301.39,417
121-0501.4No01435238.522,264,630
0-0421.3No1464949.2116,263
100-0510.1No014632343.0705,428
80-060OutNo485276.61,783,114
Total:78.6%5.8%07383318300.5%702,927,060
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 -1.0
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 -0.1
Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Auckland vs Waikato-0.0-0.1+0.0
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Otago vs North Harbour+0.2-0.7-1.4
Manawatu vs Canterbury+0.2+0.0-0.1
Southland vs Bay of Plenty-0.1-0.1+0.1
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty-0.0+0.1+0.1
Waikato vs Taranaki+0.0-0.1-0.0
Tasman vs Northland+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD1234567891011121314
326-000539431210
305-0010144335700
285-0100111373811100
4-0020111373911100
264-01102164332700
3-00302164232700
244-020001936449100
3-01201936459100
2-0041939439
223-021001135231310
2-01301125132310
1-005136325
203-03000129555820
2-0220129555820
1-01412757492
182-0310011533171500
1-02301052418160
0-015294329
162-040023012142500
1-032023112142400
0-024235121383
141-04101206582210
0-03301106572510
121-0500102365280
0-04212375090
100-05100750376
80-060235323
Total:00147132528279300