How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 -14.0
-11.0
+0.5
-0.5
Otago 30 Tasman 27 +1.3
+0.1
+0.0
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 -1.2
-0.3
-0.1
-0.0
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 +0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki+15.9+2.7-11.3
+5.7-0.7-4.0
-0.5-0.3+0.4
+0.5+0.1-0.4
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.2*+0.0+1.8
-0.1+0.1+1.3
-0.1+0.5+0.7
Auckland vs Waikato+0.5+0.1-0.8
-0.1+0.3+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Auckland vs Counties Manukau-8.8+5.6+19.4
-3.6+0.3+8.1
+0.2-0.4-0.5
-0.3+0.2+0.7
Tasman vs Northland-1.0+4.7+5.8
-0.1+0.4+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.6
-0.0+0.1+0.2
Manawatu vs Canterbury+1.0-0.3-0.5
+0.6-0.4-0.3
Waikato vs Taranaki-0.6-0.1+0.5
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay-0.0+0.3+0.0
Otago vs North Harbour+0.1*+0.0-0.8
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty-0.2+0.9+0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Counties Manukau finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal1234567RelegatedCount
326-000InYes955No814,452
305-001In100.0%71291No316,872
285-010In99.1554140No10,317,681
4-002In98.9514540No56,920
264-011100.0%87.118562520No3,578,965
3-003In87.92055242No5,187
244-02099.342.5435471310No55,957,754
3-01299.241.8434471410No477,669
2-00498.537.923548141No272
223-02189.79.1094139101No14,664,066
2-01388.47.5083842111No30,905
1-00581.89.19274518No11
203-03053.60.10011423880No148,723,111
2-02254.20.10112423880No1,403,597
1-01455.60.311143369No954
182-03123.70.00022249270No28,077,619
1-02317.5No011649340No58,771
0-01518.2No184536No11
162-0403.1No003326500.0%209,125,255
1-0323.4No0332650No1,729,744
0-0243.4No334620No947
141-0410.5No00168220.025,508,313
0-0330.2No09882No35,072
121-0500.0No039430.1149,498,397
0-0420.0No039430.1766,727
100-0510.0No0085151.58,888,598
80-060OutNo82187.542,889,190
Total:25.3%5.7%14713215120.5%702,927,060
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 +1.0
Otago 30 Tasman 27 -0.0
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki-1.0-0.2+0.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Auckland vs Counties Manukau+0.6-0.4-1.2
Tasman vs Northland+0.0-0.2-0.2
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty-0.0-0.0+0.1
Otago vs North Harbour-0.0+0.0+0.1
Manawatu vs Canterbury+0.0+0.1-0.0
Southland vs Bay of Plenty-0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD1234567891011121314
326-000474760
305-00111592730
285-010232481710
4-002129481910
264-01107374312100
3-003093742120
244-0200073543131010
3-012073543141010
2-004632431711
223-021009343790101
2-013073239101111
1-005927182718
203-030003202473880
2-022004202463780
1-0140420247369
182-031004118482800
1-023038748340
0-015994536
162-04000122662900
1-0320013266190
0-02413285810
141-04100010622710
0-03300665291
121-0500013261700
0-04201326170
100-0510012622410
80-0601464670
Total:01235662193120500