How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 +7.6
+0.3
-9.9
+0.3
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 -7.0
+0.1
+0.1
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 +0.9
-0.8
+0.0
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 -0.6
-0.1
Otago 30 Tasman 27 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.0+0.2+0.4
-0.3+1.1+2.7
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki+0.3+0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Auckland vs Waikato-0.0+0.4+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Southland vs Bay of Plenty-16.4-2.4+10.4
-1.9-0.6+1.2
+5.3-0.5-3.3
-0.5-0.1+0.3
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty-5.5+8.5+21.2
-1.5+1.5+5.9
+0.8-2.0-3.1
-0.2+0.2+0.6
Manawatu vs Canterbury-7.4-1.4+3.7
+0.2+0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Otago vs North Harbour+1.1-4.3-6.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.2
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay-0.6+0.7+0.8
-0.4-0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Tasman vs Northland+0.0-0.1-0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.2
-0.2+1.0+1.3
Auckland vs Counties Manukau-0.1+0.3+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Waikato vs Taranaki+0.0+0.4-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Bay of Plenty finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal1234567RelegatedCount
286-000In99.6%6914No1,777,670
265-001In96.3180190No633,440
245-010100.0%58.70574110No19,006,590
4-002100.062.40584110No98,177
224-01199.924.10306550No5,768,801
3-003100.025.90375940No7,834
204-02098.61.0013652110No84,128,537
3-01298.71.201367191No676,891
2-00499.71.71172170No300
183-02192.10.02484180No19,328,344
2-01392.70.0350397No38,019
1-005InNo5644No9
163-03074.50.002351250No182,166,363
2-02274.60.002450250No1,605,716
1-01477.7No02850220No1,007
142-03147.7No074152100.0%29,586,426
1-02347.4No0740521No57,383
0-01541.7No4258No12
122-04019.7No011974600.0201,445,822
1-03220.2No011974500.01,545,295
0-02419.5No118756No698
101-0415.7No06781600.820,532,994
0-0334.2No04762001.026,406
81-0500.4No00534617.1107,079,672
0-0420.5No01564317.4509,529
60-051OutNo2863833.75,181,120
40-060OutNo5762075.421,724,005
Total:45.7%2.3%041724411213.7%702,927,060
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 -0.6
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 +0.1
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty+0.3-0.5-1.3
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+1.0+0.2-0.6
Manawatu vs Canterbury+0.2+0.0-0.1
Otago vs North Harbour-0.0+0.1+0.2
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay+0.0-0.1-0.0
Auckland vs Counties Manukau-0.0+0.0+0.1
Tasman vs Northland+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD1234567891011121314
286-000136521100
265-001016512940
245-010011542338100
4-002011744316000
224-01103214327500
3-00303234327500
204-0200011138418100
3-01201133939710
2-004213404050
183-0210011249306100
2-01301135029610
1-005114444
163-030001245091330
2-0220012549101330
1-0141294781220
142-031007415262100
1-0230740525220
0-0154282525
122-040011912748400
1-03201191274840
0-024118227475
101-0410608662010
0-0330407642310
81-0500002395270
0-0420103404970
60-05101155313
40-0600256213
Total:0011361322313231130