How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 +2.6
-1.1
+0.1
Otago 30 Tasman 27 +1.1
+0.9
+0.1
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 -0.9
-0.6
-0.0
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 +1.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Auckland vs Waikato+9.0-3.5-15.3
+13.3-7.3-22.4
+0.4-0.2-0.7
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.1+0.6+0.9
-0.3+2.3+3.3
-0.0+0.1+0.2
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki-0.5-0.5+0.4
+2.5+1.1-1.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Auckland vs Counties Manukau+7.8-3.9-17.4
+9.9-7.6-21.8
+0.3-0.2-0.8
Tasman vs Northland-0.7+0.3+4.9
-0.2+0.3+1.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Waikato vs Taranaki-0.6-0.5+0.6
+0.6+1.4-0.6
Manawatu vs Canterbury+0.5+0.2-0.3
+0.5+1.7-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty-1.1-0.3+4.3
Otago vs North Harbour+0.3-1.2-1.8
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+0.2*-0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Auckland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal1234567RelegatedCount
366-000InYes8218No16,286,661
345-001InYes79210No4,156,130
325-010In99.9%475020No93,089,336
4-002In100.049501No431,368
304-011100.0%98.03756700No18,663,137
3-003In98.1375670No23,257
284-020100.083.110563230No193,403,151
3-01299.984.010573030No1,460,809
2-004In84.01257283No737
263-02198.839.1333471610No29,443,504
2-01398.841.533546141No55,494
1-005In25.0137513No8
243-03091.19.2094239900No190,484,197
2-02289.08.1094040110No1,653,499
1-01486.76.673743131No1,100
222-03157.90.20113443750No20,989,349
1-02359.00.211444365No40,521
0-01553.8No54388No13
202-04028.40.00032654170No96,823,780
1-03223.40.0022155210No764,438
0-02421.0No2195524No357
181-0414.2No00443520No6,934,816
0-0334.8No0544510No9,263
161-0500.5No01247420.0%24,617,534
0-0420.3No0187920.0123,295
140-0510.0No069130.1864,624
120-060OutNo085152.42,606,682
Total:81.4%46.0%1328231712600.0%702,927,060
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 -0.1
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 +0.0
Otago 30 Tasman 27 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Auckland vs Waikato-0.8+0.4+1.3
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay+0.0-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Auckland vs Counties Manukau-0.6+0.4+1.4
Tasman vs Northland+0.0-0.0-0.2
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty+0.0+0.0-0.1
Manawatu vs Canterbury-0.0-0.1+0.0
Otago vs North Harbour-0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD1234567891011121314
366-00047503
345-0012359171
325-0103434680
4-0024464360
304-0111214928200
3-003120492820
284-02004304916100
3-01204314915100
2-00443347151
263-0210063343151010
2-0130635421411
1-005256313
243-030009353890900
2-0220083338101110
1-014063138101131
222-031004222573750
1-0230523256365
0-01554388
202-0400051311531800
1-032003119532310
0-024312753251
181-04100133452100
0-033014355180
161-05000112543210
0-042009494020
140-051001246690
120-06004613320
Total:2916191612521252000