How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 -0.1
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 -1.3
Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 -1.1
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 +0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.1+0.1+1.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+2.5-9.8-26.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Auckland vs Waikato-0.0+0.0+0.1
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki+0.1+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay-0.2-0.1+0.2
+20.1-4.6-26.4
Tasman vs Northland-0.0+0.0+0.1
-1.5+0.2+10.0
Waikato vs Taranaki+0.1+0.0-0.1
Auckland vs Counties Manukau-0.0+0.0+0.1
Manawatu vs Canterbury+0.2+0.2-0.1
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty-0.3+0.6+1.2
Otago vs North Harbour-0.0+0.1+0.1
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+6.3+5.7-4.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Hawke’s Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal1234567RelegatedCount
246-00099.1%40.3%430471710No183,245
225-00176.62.60224502120No42,531
205-01045.70.10073842121No1,600,303
4-00243.10.1073643141No11,983
184-0119.5No0941428No883,891
3-0039.1No0940447No1,664
164-0201.1No011752300.0%16,166,247
3-0120.9No011552320.0181,993
2-0040.8No1155431No124
143-0210.0No0441550.36,558,942
2-0130.0No0440560.217,808
1-005OutNo4357No7
123-0300.0No0015852.878,287,845
2-022OutNo014863.8935,367
1-014OutNo14864.6820
102-031OutNo089218.421,951,899
1-023OutNo079317.956,225
0-015OutNo1486No14
82-040OutNo0010043.1191,939,892
1-032OutNo010050.91,935,091
0-024OutNo010056.61,206
61-041OutNo010078.333,238,201
0-033OutNo10078.053,855
0-4OutNo10097.2348,877,907*
Total:0.2%0.0%0000149564.8%702,927,060

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 -0.0
Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay+0.1-0.3-0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay+0.5-0.2-0.6
Tasman vs Northland-0.0+0.0+0.2
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD1234567891011121314
246-000083242161010
225-0010320391412120
205-01000319204421210
4-002021719443141
184-0110153404280
3-0030153394480
164-020000115493220
3-01200113483530
2-00411346392
143-021000228511700
2-013022852180
1-005434314
123-0300006444830
2-02204405240
1-0144375550
102-031011665180
1-02311467180
0-0152179
82-0400255403
1-032148465
0-024043515
61-0410226613
0-033226513
41-05045343
0-04204950
20-0513664
00-060100
Total:0000000127253332