How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 +5.1
+3.6
-0.3
+0.2
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 +3.1
-1.0
+0.1
Otago 30 Tasman 27 +1.4
+0.8
+0.1
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 +1.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki-15.3-2.2+10.8
-16.9-5.2+12.1
-0.7-0.1+0.5
Auckland vs Waikato+0.3-1.3-0.4
-0.6+0.5+1.0
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.1+0.5+0.7
-0.3+2.0+2.8
-0.0+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Waikato vs Taranaki-12.9-0.6+12.2
-16.5-3.4+15.7
-0.6-0.0+0.6
Tasman vs Northland-0.8+0.6+5.6
-0.3+0.3+1.8
-0.0+0.0+0.2
Auckland vs Counties Manukau+0.4-0.9-0.9
-1.2+0.8+2.6
Manawatu vs Canterbury+0.4+0.2-0.2
+0.5+1.5-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty-0.9-0.5+3.7
Otago vs North Harbour+0.3-1.1-1.7
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+0.3*-0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Taranaki finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal1234567RelegatedCount
366-000InYes946No15,279,183
345-001InYes88120No3,732,795
325-010In100.0%594020No79,728,496
4-002In99.966331No382,678
304-011100.0%98.04250800No16,214,449
3-003100.098.43953900No20,831
284-020100.085.413562920No170,979,765
3-012100.085.415552820No1,311,243
2-004In86.21855262No643
263-02198.837.9330491610No27,535,081
2-01398.839.733050161No53,033
1-005In27.3274527No11
243-03093.010.0010453770No191,280,942
2-02293.19.5010453870No1,654,758
1-01492.58.218473770No991
222-03160.90.10114463540No22,849,790
1-02362.00.2011546353No44,161
0-01550.0No104050No10
202-04035.60.00043151130No117,534,747
1-03233.90.0043052140No905,456
0-02435.4No3324915No429
181-0416.5No00647460No9,256,095
0-0336.4No0648460No11,969
161-0501.5No01296810.0%37,531,680
0-0421.2No01287020.0181,094
140-0510.0No098830.11,458,248
120-0600.0No0184141.54,978,482
Total:78.5%41.5%1324231814700.0%702,927,060
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 -0.4
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 -0.1
Otago 30 Tasman 27 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki+1.2+0.2-0.8
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay+0.0-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Waikato vs Taranaki+1.0+0.1-1.0
Tasman vs Northland+0.0-0.0-0.2
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty+0.0+0.0-0.1
Manawatu vs Canterbury-0.0-0.1+0.0
Otago vs North Harbour-0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD1234567891011121314
366-00028702
345-001197470
325-0103553930
4-0023603330
304-0111284920200
3-003130491820
284-02006354414100
3-01206354414100
2-00473643131
263-0210063144161010
2-01307324315101
1-005273636
243-03001937379070
2-02200937389070
1-0141738378170
222-031004222683540
1-02304212793440
0-01510301050
202-0400061713501400
1-032006161251150
0-02406171249150
181-0410015374890
0-0330153647100
161-05000118562410
0-04200117562510
140-051022764700
120-0600011622510
Total:11015161513631362000