How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 +3.6
-0.7
+0.1
Otago 30 Tasman 27 +1.8
+0.6
+0.1
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 -1.3
-0.4
-0.0
-0.0
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 +1.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Auckland vs Waikato-10.8+2.5+18.4
-11.4+0.7+19.5
+0.1-0.1-0.2
-0.5+0.1+0.8
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki-0.8-0.7+0.6
+1.5+0.6-1.1
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.1+0.7+0.8
-0.3+1.8+2.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Waikato vs Taranaki+15.8-1.8-14.8
+14.7-3.3-13.8
-0.2-0.1+0.2
+0.6-0.1-0.6
Tasman vs Northland-1.1+0.8+7.7
-0.2+0.3+1.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.2
Auckland vs Counties Manukau+0.5-1.1-1.0
-1.0+0.7+2.1
Manawatu vs Canterbury+0.6+0.2-0.3
+0.4+1.4-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay+0.0+0.0-0.1
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty-0.8-0.3+3.2
Otago vs North Harbour+0.2-0.9-1.4
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+0.2*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Waikato finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal1234567RelegatedCount
367-000InYes955No6,122,650
346-001InYes90100No1,870,845
326-010In100.0%593920No43,524,073
5-002In100.067321No247,195
305-011100.0%98.34249800No11,305,208
4-003In98.6415080No17,767
285-020100.083.812523240No127,600,732
4-012100.084.814542930No1,200,022
3-004In85.31654272No764
264-02198.336.5328491920No26,587,987
3-01398.440.0329481820No66,720
2-005In33.3206020No15
244-03091.18.3084142900No192,256,683
3-02291.68.309424180No2,167,117
2-01492.78.309424170No2,096
223-03157.00.10012453940No30,523,152
2-02358.70.2011346384No85,839
1-01551.73.431038453No29
203-04032.00.00032954140No156,356,270
2-03232.10.0032954140No1,763,086
1-02432.3No033053140No1,565
182-0415.7No006484600.0%17,425,814
1-0336.2No0649440No43,687
0-02518.2No182755No11
162-0501.2No01296830.065,348,935
1-0421.3No01306720.0624,183
0-0341.5No233632No394
141-0510.0No098370.24,435,679
0-043OutNo981100.47,116
121-0600.0No0171284.111,988,390
0-0520.0No0274244.373,645
100-061OutNo0574324.9380,479
80-070OutNo208074.0898,912
Total:66.2%28.0%8162022201310.2%702,927,060
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 -0.1
Otago 30 Tasman 27 -0.1
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Auckland vs Waikato+0.8-0.1-1.4
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay+0.0-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Waikato vs Taranaki-1.1+0.1+1.0
Tasman vs Northland+0.0-0.0-0.3
Otago vs North Harbour-0.0+0.1+0.1
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty+0.0+0.1-0.1
Manawatu vs Canterbury+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD1234567891011121314
367-00028702
346-001197560
326-0103563830
5-0023623230
305-0111294919200
4-00313348161
285-02005344515100
4-01206354414100
3-004636431310
264-0210063043171020
3-013073242161020
2-005334720
244-030008343991900
3-02200834399080
2-01408353910070
223-031004222573940
2-02304222573740
1-01537141017453
203-04000061511531500
2-0320061511531500
1-02406151052150
182-04100144048700
1-0330015414670
0-0259927459
162-05000118572310
1-04200119562310
0-03422551221
141-0510033157900
0-04323057100
121-060008533540
0-052008543340
100-06102352232
80-0701255519
Total:06101214147319104100