Manawatu Playoff Chances 2016Lost to North Harbour 25-29, playoff odds down 17.9 to 73.4% 11 points 2-0 2 0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 | -8.9 | | -11.5 | | +0.3 | | -0.4 | | Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | Taranaki 30 Southland 14 | +0.4 | | -0.5 | | | | +0.0 | | Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 | -0.2 | | -0.7 | | | | -0.1 | | Otago 30 Tasman 27 | | | +0.5 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay | | | -0.1+0.6+1.5 | | -0.0+0.2+0.4 | | | | Auckland vs Waikato | | | -0.2-1.0+0.4 | | | | | | Counties Manukau vs Taranaki | | | +0.5-0.2-0.3 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Manawatu vs Canterbury | +13.8+3.0-6.9 | | +9.2-0.9-4.5 | | -0.6-0.4+0.3 | | +0.4+0.1-0.2 | | Wellington vs Bay of Plenty | +2.5-5.0-9.6 | | -0.5+0.9+1.8 | | | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Southland vs Bay of Plenty | +7.2+0.2-4.6 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.3+0.2-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Otago vs North Harbour | +0.8-2.6-5.2 | | +0.2-0.4-1.0 | | | | +0.0-0.1-0.2 | | Southland vs Hawke’s Bay | -0.4-0.0+0.5 | | | | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | | | | Tasman vs Northland | +0.1+0.0-0.5 | | -0.2+0.5+1.0 | | -0.1-0.0+0.5 | | | | Auckland vs Counties Manukau | | | -0.4-0.1+0.9 | | | | | | Waikato vs Taranaki | | | +0.1-0.9-0.0 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Manawatu finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | - | OT | | L | | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | Yes | 24 | 76 | | | | | | No | 2,295,699 | | 30 | | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | 99.5 | % | 13 | 78 | 9 | 0 | | | | No | 826,038 | | 28 | | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | 95.2 | | 2 | 71 | 27 | 0 | | | | No | 24,668,697 | | | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | 94.9 | | 2 | 71 | 27 | 0 | | | | No | 124,239 | | 26 | | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 100.0 | % | 55.0 | | 1 | 49 | 48 | 3 | 0 | | | No | 7,215,397 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | In | 56.3 | | 0 | 46 | 50 | 3 | | | | No | 9,520 | | 24 | | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | | 20.9 | | 0 | 24 | 67 | 9 | 0 | | | No | 103,107,649 | | | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 100.0 | | 19.3 | | 0 | 24 | 67 | 9 | 0 | | | No | 804,940 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | In | 19.5 | | | 26 | 65 | 9 | | | | No | 411 | | 22 | | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 98.9 | | 0.7 | | 0 | 10 | 61 | 28 | 1 | 0 | | No | 22,337,566 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 99.1 | | 0.8 | | | 8 | 62 | 29 | 1 | | | No | 42,523 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | In | No | | | 100 | | | | | No | 11 | | 20 | | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 96.1 | | 0.0 | | | 2 | 47 | 47 | 4 | 0 | | No | 202,737,766 | | | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 95.2 | | 0.0 | | | 2 | 46 | 48 | 5 | 0 | | No | 1,727,472 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 93.9 | | No | | 1 | 44 | 49 | 6 | | | No | 1,107 | | 18 | | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 80.3 | | 0.0 | | | 0 | 22 | 58 | 20 | 0 | | No | 30,254,511 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 80.5 | | No | | 0 | 21 | 59 | 19 | 0 | | No | 56,063 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 75.0 | | No | | | 25 | 50 | 25 | | | No | 4 | | 16 | | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 61.5 | | No | | 0 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 193,530,376 | | | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 57.8 | | No | | 0 | 7 | 51 | 42 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 1,416,592 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 55.5 | | No | | | 6 | 50 | 44 | 1 | | No | 659 | | 14 | | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 29.8 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 28 | 66 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | | 17,291,854 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 28.7 | | No | | | 1 | 28 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | | 20,901 | | 12 | | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 10.9 | | No | | | 0 | 11 | 79 | 10 | 0 | 0.7 | | 80,602,139 | | | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9.8 | | No | | | 0 | 10 | 80 | 10 | 0 | 0.8 | | 359,692 | | 10 | | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1.7 | | No | | | 0 | 2 | 65 | 33 | 1 | 8.3 | | 3,111,919 | | 8 | | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | 48 | 47 | 5 | 32.3 | | 10,383,315 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 73.4 | % | 7.5 | % | 0 | 8 | 30 | 35 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0.6 | % | 702,927,060 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |