How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 -4.4
-0.0
+13.1
-0.3
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 +0.3
-1.6
+0.0
Counties Manukau 27 Wellington 28 -0.3
-0.1
North Harbour 29 Manawatu 25 -0.1
+0.7
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Counties Manukau vs Taranaki+0.2+0.2-0.1
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.9+6.5+8.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tasman vs Northland-0.2+0.3+1.2
No-0.0+0.0
+3.5-5.4-23.2
-0.0+0.1+0.3
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+0.1+0.1-0.1
+6.0+1.2-3.8
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Manawatu vs Canterbury-0.1-0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Otago vs North Harbour+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Wellington vs Bay of Plenty+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.4
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay+0.6+0.7-0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Auckland vs Counties Manukau-0.1+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Northland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal1234567RelegatedCount
205-00096.0%0.8%8563240No189,584
184-00184.80.023450151No47,473
164-01048.3No093943900.0%1,857,648
3-00251.2No01042409No13,662
143-01123.8No0222542200.11,061,528
2-00321.1No21953260.11,966
123-0203.7No04375811.620,553,520
2-0123.9No04385721.7219,871
1-0044.1No4425130.7145
102-0210.5No002271713.58,436,251
1-0130.3No02072815.019,006
0-005OutNo505050.02
82-0300.0No04752134.0107,964,478
1-0220.0No03722436.61,101,887
0-014OutNo4663042.7600
61-031OutNo1554473.027,921,204
0-023OutNo1505076.745,325
41-040OutNo336787.8264,998,965
0-032OutNo247691.91,686,846
20-041OutNo991100.031,537,793
00-050OutNo100Yes235,269,306
Total:0.3%0.0%0002296879.7%702,927,060
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
Bay of Plenty 52 Northland 25 +0.5
Taranaki 30 Southland 14 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Canterbury vs Hawke’s Bay-0.0+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/15100.0*Lottery seed
Tasman vs Northland+0.1-0.2-0.7
Southland vs Bay of Plenty+0.1+0.0-0.1
Southland vs Hawke’s Bay-0.0+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLD1234567891011121314
205-000011238379400
184-0010110393512300
164-01000103815251110
3-002011401523101
143-01102227303280
2-0032195293590
123-02004010424220
2-01204011434020
1-00441045401
102-02100022361130
1-013012162150
0-0055050
82-03000462322
1-02200459342
0-014553402
61-0310275716
0-0230235918
41-040125830
0-03285834
20-04102674
00-0501585
Total:000000002173544