SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Stade Malherbe de Caen Title Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Lost to Tours 1-3, average seed up 0.02 to 2.3

63 points 18-9-10

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/2	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Average seed
Brest 0 Caen 1	+0.4		+12.6		+0.4
Troyes 0 Metz 1	No
Caen 6 Bastia 1	+0.2		+16.8		+0.5
Metz 1 Tours 1	-0.0
Nancy 3 Istres 1			-7.3		-0.1
Niort 1 Auxerre 0			-5.1		-0.1
Laval 1 Nancy 0			+4.9		+0.1
Istres 1 Lens 6			-4.5		-0.2
Créteil 1 Niort 1			+1.5		+0.0
Lens 0 Angers 0			+1.0		+0.1
Nîmes 1 Brest 1			+0.4
Angers 2 Nîmes 3			+0.3

Week of 5/9	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Average seed
Caen 1 Tours 3			-3.5		-0.2
Nancy 3 Angers 1			-1.7
Niort 1 Bastia 1			+0.9
Lens 0 Brest 1			+0.6		+0.2

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/16	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Average seed
Dijon vs Caen			-6.0YesYes		-0.3-0.0+0.3
Auxerre vs Nancy			YesYes-6.0		+0.1+0.1-0.1
Bastia vs Lens			Yes-1.0-2.4		+0.3+0.1-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well Caen finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance		Promoted to		Chance will finish season at seed																				Down to
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Ligue 1		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	National		Count

66		1	-	0	-	0	No		Yes			100																			No		7,169,696,326
64		0	-	1	-	0	No		Yes			65	35																		No		6,036,385,780
63		0	-	0	-	1	No		90.7	%		44	47	9																	No		7,169,587,294

Total:							No		96.7	%		70	27	3																	No		20,375,669,400

Points

Chance Will Win Championship