"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/2100.0*Promoted to Ligue 1100.0*Average seed
Nîmes 1 Brest 1 -1.0
-0.2
Caen 6 Bastia 1 -0.7
Nancy 3 Istres 1 -0.4
-0.1
Niort 1 Auxerre 0 -0.3
-0.1
Brest 0 Caen 1 No
-0.8
Istres 1 Lens 6 No
Clermont-Ferrand 0 Dijon 1 -0.1
Lens 0 Angers 0 +0.0
Metz 1 Tours 1 +0.0
Angers 2 Nîmes 3 +0.1
Dijon 2 Châteauroux 1 -0.2
Tours 2 Arles-Avignon 2 +0.1
Troyes 0 Metz 1 +0.1
Le Havre 2 Troyes 1 +0.1
Auxerre 2 Le Havre 1 +0.1
Arles-Avignon 2 Créteil 1 +0.1
Bastia 1 Clermont-Ferrand 1 +0.0
Week of 5/9100.0*Promoted to Ligue 1100.0*Average seed
Lens 0 Brest 1 +1.0
Caen 1 Tours 3 -0.2
Nancy 3 Angers 1 +0.2
Istres 2 Dijon 4 -0.1
Châteauroux 0 Créteil 2 -0.1
Arles-Avignon 0 Auxerre 2 +0.1
Clermont-Ferrand 0 Troyes 3 -0.1
Metz 3 Le Havre 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/16100.0*Promoted to Ligue 1100.0*Average seed
Brest vs Châteauroux+0.8-0.1-0.7
Tours vs Clermont-Ferrand-0.3-0.0+0.3
Angers vs Istres-0.3+0.0+0.3
Dijon vs Caen-0.1-0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Brest finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePromoted toChance will finish season at seedDown to
TPW-D-Lwins titleLigue 11234567891011121314151617181920NationalCount
561-0-0NoNo2476No7,169,576,475
540-1-0NoNo424612No6,036,317,407
530-0-1NoNo154837No7,169,775,518
Total:NoNo8453017No20,375,669,400
Points
Chance Will Win Championship