SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

AS Nancy-Lorraine Title Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Beat Angers 3-1, average seed up 0.6 to 4

60 points 16-12-9

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 5/2	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Average seed
Nancy 3 Istres 1	+17.2		+0.7
Laval 1 Nancy 0	-17.0		-0.5
Istres 1 Lens 6	-9.7		-0.2
Caen 6 Bastia 1	-6.4		-0.1
Brest 0 Caen 1	-4.9		-0.1
Niort 1 Auxerre 0	-2.8		-0.2
Créteil 1 Niort 1	+1.3		+0.0
Lens 0 Angers 0	+0.8
Nîmes 1 Brest 1	+0.2		+0.0
Angers 2 Nîmes 3	+0.2		+0.1
Clermont-Ferrand 0 Dijon 1	-0.1
Metz 1 Tours 1	+0.1

Week of 5/9	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Average seed
Nancy 3 Angers 1	+8.2		+0.5
Lens 0 Brest 1	+3.2
Caen 1 Tours 3	+1.6
Niort 1 Bastia 1	+0.2		+0.0
Istres 2 Dijon 4			-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/16	100.0*	Promoted to Ligue 1	100.0*	Average seed
Auxerre vs Nancy	NoNo+35.1		-0.4-0.3+0.6
Bastia vs Lens	+16.1-3.4-13.3		+0.2-0.0-0.2
Dijon vs Caen	+4.8-2.6-2.6		+0.1-0.1-0.1
Troyes vs Niort			+0.2+0.2-0.4

What If

Chances based on how well Nancy finishes out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance		Promoted to		Chance will finish season at seed																				Down to
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		Ligue 1		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	National		Count

63		1	-	0	-	0	No		54.1	%		9	45	46																	No		7,169,647,416
61		0	-	1	-	0	No		No					74	26																No		6,036,338,515
60		0	-	0	-	1	No		No					65	35																No		7,169,683,469

Total:							No		19.0	%		3	16	61	20																No		20,375,669,400

Points

Chance Will Win Championship