Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Lost to Red Sox 764-1156, playoff odds down 4.1 to 2.1%
4-6   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 -3.9
-0.5
-0.9
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -0.6
-0.1
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 +0.4
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.2
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 +0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Indians+1.3-1.3
+0.2-0.2
+0.7-0.7
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.5-0.5
+0.1-0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-0.4+0.4
Braves vs Tigers+0.1-0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Brewers vs Royals+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Mariners+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1511-097.1%3339619300466,210
1410-177.852818261840004,389,550
139-235.606171229249200021,938,923
128-37.3006192530207100065,786,641
117-40.8010041427291861000131,576,294
106-50.0000001618302814300184,207,465
95-60.0000021026352250184,199,353
84-7Out000152240274131,561,838
73-8Out000425492265,773,657
62-9Out006425121,926,376
51-10Out0122774,388,628
40-11Out00892466,285
Total:2.1%001123571012141514114816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxAstrosRed SoxTigersOriolesAngelsIndiansRangersBlue JaysRoyalsMarinersYankeesTwinsAthletics
1511-011.1%7841173230110000
1410-19.252733135360110000
139-25.523722134361110000
128-31.4621041120000000
117-40.1100000000000000
106-50.000000000000000
95-60.00
4-8No
Total:0.3%1.60.40.10.10.70.20.20.30.00.10.10.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 +1.5
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Rays vs Indians-1.3+1.3
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1511-019362811300300
1410-116172319920193000
139-20002611115282310310000
128-30000254142323178310000
117-4000100261321231911410000
106-5000000151321242011410000
95-60000002716242517720000
84-7000015132226201030000
73-8000131021272311300
62-9000021022312491
51-10000314313615
40-11001103950
Total:000000011223445678898875432100