Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Beat Yankees 1067-882, playoff odds up 5.8 to 39.1%
7-3   .700

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 +8.9
+1.1
+0.9
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 -3.0
-0.4
-0.1
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 +1.2
+0.2
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.7
-0.1
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 +0.5
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -0.4
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.1
+0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Orioles vs Rockies+9.3-9.3
+1.1-1.1
+0.7-0.7
Cardinals vs Red Sox+4.5-4.5
+0.6-0.6
+0.2-0.2
Braves vs Tigers+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.9+0.9
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.4-0.4
Rays vs Indians+0.4-0.4
Marlins vs Angels+0.4-0.4
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Astros vs Reds-0.3+0.3
Brewers vs Royals+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.1+0.1
Yankees vs Twins-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1811-0In96400466,962
1710-1100.0%83160104,386,058
169-299.95637250021,931,898
158-397.722501214200065,759,875
147-483.033228201430000131,565,552
136-547.1082811262061000184,215,776
125-615.3011311127281441000184,197,481
114-72.9030162030251230000131,592,851
103-80.3000002102330231020065,782,133
92-90.000014132732194021,931,319
81-10Out0001723392644,385,060
70-11Out0004254921466,255
Total:39.1%41215711121197532100816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxAstrosRed SoxTigersAngelsIndiansRangersBlue JaysRoyalsMarinersRaysYankeesTwinsAthletics
1811-012.6%100000000000000
1710-112.499000000000000
169-212.29510020100000000
158-311.58431061301100000
147-410.063620123711100000
136-56.836620134711100000
125-62.51421051300000000
114-70.4300000000000000
103-80.0000000000000000
92-90.00
7-8No
Total:5.1%31.82.91.20.26.41.73.60.40.60.60.20.20.10.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -1.5
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +0.1
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Orioles vs Rockies-1.3+1.3
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.2+0.2
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Padres+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1811-094600
1710-176222000
169-2404116300000
158-3825322292002000
147-4029192418811330000
136-500014111713172011410000
125-600003122918221810310000
114-7000300151220242011410000
103-8000000026142124191031000
92-9000001381724241672000
81-1000001411212622113000
70-110002717282715400
Total:245566667777665443211100000000