Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Beat Diamondbacks 1048-854, playoff odds down 0.2 to 20.3%
6-4   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +7.5
+0.9
+0.7
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -2.1
-0.2
-0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -2.0
-0.2
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.9
-0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.6
-0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.5
-0.1
-0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.3
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Phillies+7.5-7.5
+0.9-0.9
+0.6-0.6
Cardinals vs Red Sox-2.2+2.2
-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs+1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Mariners-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Mets vs White Sox-0.6+0.6
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Marlins vs Angels-0.3+0.3
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1711-0100.0%951040465,915
1610-199.6788014004,385,260
159-296.2422023240021,935,264
148-381.310197451710065,780,761
137-446.4167333913100131,559,371
126-512.60039363714100184,207,071
115-61.20001103439142000184,188,815
104-70.0000193538162000131,592,201
93-80.000019303818400065,789,994
82-9Out00162333251020021,926,985
71-10Out00313273120614,382,320
60-11Out001518333212467,263
Total:20.3%33312182018127310000816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsCubsGiantsMetsPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsBravesPadresRockiesBrewers
1711-012.3%960011000000
1610-111.68601552100000000
159-210.3641311125201000000
148-38.4362619199411000000
137-46.21438202112612000000
126-53.232512128411000000
115-60.7001332100000000
104-70.1000000000000000
93-80.000000000000000
82-90.000
6-7No
Total:2.9%8.21.23.28.68.75.12.40.60.60.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -1.7
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates vs Phillies-1.5+1.5
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.1-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Padres+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs-0.1+0.1
Orioles vs Rockies+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1711-065323000
1610-1294521400000
159-252334249200400
148-3021021251761163000
137-400026141682120930000
126-5000148415242314620000
115-600010039192422146200000
104-70000000139182422146200000
93-80000013918242315620000
82-90001381724241662000
71-100000281828261430
60-11001415333413
Total:012334436788877655432211100000