Milwaukee Brewers Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Lost to Tigers 887-1351, playoff odds down 0.02 to 0.0006%
0-10   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Average seed
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.4
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 +0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Average seed
Brewers vs Royals+0.4-0.4
Orioles vs Rockies+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Padres+0.1-0.1
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.1
Nationals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Brewers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1111-00.9%0019303919300466,576
1010-10.00000624412350004,383,910
99-20.0000032038299100021,932,555
88-3Out00021434321530065,789,793
77-4Out001926332271131,571,519
66-5Out001519343010184,199,399
55-6Out0003164139184,192,282
44-7Out00032374131,574,783
33-8Out00079365,789,784
22-9Out0019921,929,980
11-10Out01004,385,043
00-11Out100465,596
Total:0.0%000000125812162234816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Brewers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsCubsGiantsMetsPiratesPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsBravesPadresRockies
1111-00.6%001332010000000
1010-10.0000000000000000
99-20.00000000000
88-3No0
0-7No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +0.7
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Brewers vs Royals-0.6+0.6
Orioles vs Rockies-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.1+0.1
Braves vs Tigers+0.1-0.1
Astros vs Reds-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1111-0001003102126211251000
1010-100000141121252012510000
99-20000131020252113510000
88-3000014112227211131000
77-400001617272616510
66-5000015163030153
55-6000018264124
44-700053163
33-80001090
22-900298
11-1000100
00-11100
Total:00000000000001122356811141927