Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Beat Nationals 753-717, playoff odds up 0.7 to 3.4%
5-5   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +1.5
+0.2
+0.7
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.4
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 +0.3
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -0.3
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.1
+0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Brewers vs Royals-1.9+1.9
-0.3+0.3
-0.7+0.7
Braves vs Tigers+0.6-0.6
+0.1-0.1
Rays vs Indians+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.3-0.3
Marlins vs Angels+0.2-0.2
Orioles vs Rockies-0.2+0.2
Astros vs Reds-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Mariners+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1611-096.8%49804030466,550
1510-184.31712254151004,381,217
149-252.62534238910021,931,004
138-315.701114383212200065,789,861
127-41.300011027332171000131,564,631
116-50.0000041630291641000184,216,608
105-60.000001721322611200184,193,189
94-7Out000031228331950131,587,339
83-8Out00017233926465,776,681
72-9Out000524492121,922,451
61-10Out00642524,385,207
50-11Out012178466,482
Total:3.4%000368101213131210741816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxAstrosRed SoxTigersOriolesAngelsIndiansRangersBlue JaysMarinersRaysYankeesTwinsAthletics
1611-09.8%57532202461100000
1510-18.1309432946111100000
149-26.31012543057132100000
138-33.42733184581100000
127-40.7011141120000000
116-50.0000000000000000
105-60.000000000000000
94-7No0
5-8No
Total:0.6%0.61.20.50.53.20.60.81.40.20.20.10.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -1.5
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Brewers vs Royals+1.3-1.3
Rangers vs Padres+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1611-037461210030
1510-18293014410015100
149-2031015148203981000
138-300013552323115410000
127-400000131323262010410000
116-500000151220242112410000
105-600000141121262111410000
94-700002614242618820000
83-8000013102026231341000
72-900001616252717610
61-1000014142731194
50-110015204233
Total:000111104556667788776543211000