New York Mets Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Beat Rangers 1185-961, playoff odds down 0.3 to 27.9%
6-4   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +8.2
+1.0
+0.6
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -3.6
-0.5
-0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.9
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.9
-0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.7
-0.1
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.5
-0.1
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -0.3
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Mets vs White Sox+8.5-8.5
+1.0-1.0
+0.6-0.6
Marlins vs Angels-3.7+3.7
-0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Mariners-0.9+0.9
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs+0.5-0.5
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1711-0100.0%917020466,262
1610-1100.0672417004,383,221
159-299.0324181810021,927,091
148-390.57332229910065,781,481
137-462.20112724279100131,585,224
126-525.401168293113100184,206,019
115-66.2005193038142000184,177,332
104-71.0010183438162000131,581,961
93-80.100019313916300065,789,906
82-90.000017273522710021,930,977
71-10Out00518302814404,385,265
60-11Out002102433247466,481
Total:27.9%26119141718127310000816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsCubsGiantsPiratesPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsBravesPadresRockiesBrewers
1711-012.3%980110000000
1610-112.093122110000000
159-211.38102554210000000
148-310.0610510107410000000
137-47.93806141410611000000
126-54.5180410107411000000
115-61.3601332100000000
104-70.2100000000000000
93-80.00000000000000
82-90.0000
6-7No
Total:3.8%19.10.12.66.06.14.32.40.60.40.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -1.7
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +0.1
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 +0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Mets vs White Sox-1.4+1.4
Marlins vs Angels+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1711-084151000
1610-1464013200000
159-292733218200100
148-303112226198182000
137-4000261723141314720000
126-500017183101820147200000
115-600060027152222157200000
104-701000138172323157200000
93-80000013917242315620000
82-9000001391825231451000
71-10000014112228221020
60-11000282233278
Total:112334683566777665432211100000