Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Lost to Marlins 846-970, playoff odds down 0.5 to 0.2%
3-7   .300

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.5
-0.1
-0.6
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.1
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 +0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -0.1
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.1
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 +0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Yankees vs Twins-0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.6
Rays vs Indians-0.1+0.1
Brewers vs Royals+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.1+0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Mariners+0.1-0.1
Nationals vs Athletics+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1411-054.6%3524437810466,837
1310-116.40111538311220004,385,614
129-21.30001102632218200021,924,570
118-30.000003132629197100065,773,690
107-40.000001515282917500131,579,031
96-5Out0001722342680184,203,957
85-6Out000041738355184,214,558
74-7Out0002195425131,559,032
63-8Out0004415565,789,614
52-9Out000217921,931,415
41-10Out07934,386,442
30-11Out298466,460
Total:0.2%00001123581115192212816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxAstrosRed SoxTigersOriolesAngelsIndiansRangersBlue JaysRoyalsMarinersRaysYankeesAthletics
1411-06.4%1012543256121130100
1310-13.52733193481120000
129-20.7011141120000000
118-30.0000000000000000
107-40.000000000000000
3-9No
Total:0.0%0.00.10.00.00.20.00.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +1.3
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees vs Twins+1.3-1.3
Pirates vs Phillies-0.1+0.1
Astros vs Reds-0.1+0.1
Braves vs Tigers+0.1-0.1
Rays vs Indians+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1411-015141712510405000
1310-10001355139291230000
129-20000141424251893100000
118-300000151220242012510000
107-400000141019252213510000
96-500001513232719920000
85-6000003102128221131000
74-700002921292412300
63-800002922332591
52-9000313343713
41-10001104248
30-11011881
Total:00000000011112334678910109875321