Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2016

Lost to Red Sox 764-1156, playoff odds down 0.005 to 0.001%
4-6   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 Out
-0.0
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 +0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Indians+0.0Out
+0.5-0.1
Nationals vs Athletics+0.1-0.1
Yankees vs Twins+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1511-011.8%03545132500224,797
139-2Out3194432378
128-3Out0118542622,788
117-4Out022556151066,261
106-5Out003354416201,045,433
95-6Out00628422130010,864,011
84-7Out0042345262073,627,714
73-8Out0032256191314,526,622
62-9Out000340516792,931,261
51-10Out001362251,030,580,612
40-11Out0024454487,638,243
Total:0.0%0000000000152449212,711,507,820

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxRed SoxTigersAstrosAngelsBlue JaysOriolesIndiansMariners
1511-0No818033112000
12-13No0
4-11No
Total:No0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.0
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -0.0
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.0
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Rays vs Indians-1.2+0.2
Rangers vs Padres-0.0+0.1
Astros vs Reds-0.0+0.2
Braves vs Tigers+0.1-0.0
Pirates vs Phillies-0.0+0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1511-000144205925400
139-23152335195
128-302133638100
117-401939401110
106-50093636153000
95-60082533238100
84-7003132831195000
73-8001518323212100
62-9000183042172000
51-10000526392461000
40-1100211253222710
Total:000000000000000011371424221484100