Boston Red Sox Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Beat Rays 1156-764, playoff odds up 8 to 66.7%
8-2   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 +10.3
+1.3
+0.8
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -3.2
-0.4
-0.1
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 +1.8
+0.2
+0.1
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.7
-0.1
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 +0.5
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -0.3
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Red Sox-8.7+8.7
-1.0+1.0
-0.6+0.6
Orioles vs Rockies-4.4+4.4
-0.6+0.6
-0.2+0.2
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Braves vs Tigers+0.9-0.9
+0.1-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.3-0.3
Marlins vs Angels+0.3-0.3
Astros vs Reds-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Brewers vs Royals+0.1-0.1
Yankees vs Twins-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.1+0.1
Rays vs Indians+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1911-0In1000465,961
1810-1In973004,385,630
179-2100.0%871300021,929,748
168-3100.06335110065,800,360
157-499.029551061000131,584,771
146-590.4644291181000184,207,179
135-662.2015398191441000184,173,944
124-727.402251923241231000131,571,021
113-87.40701619292411300065,783,532
102-90.90100292330231020021,929,154
91-100.00000312273220504,383,850
80-110.0000162037307466,070
Total:66.7%142622588653210000816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Red Sox finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxAstrosTigersOriolesAngelsIndiansRangersBlue JaysRoyalsMarinersRaysYankeesTwinsAthletics
1911-012.4%Yes
1810-112.5100000000000000
179-212.5100000000000000
168-312.49900000000000000
157-412.19310201100000000
146-511.18031702401100000
135-68.555421003511100000
124-73.92621401200000000
113-81.0700000000000000
102-90.1100000000000
8-90.00
Total:8.5%61.42.10.95.00.21.22.40.30.30.50.10.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 -1.4
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 +0.1
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 +0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals vs Red Sox+1.3-1.3
Orioles vs Rockies+0.2-0.2
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.1-0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1911-01000
1810-196400
179-2792010000
168-34142142000000
157-4827332182001000
146-5031121261982810000
135-60001615231615147200000
124-700001620310181914620000
113-800070027142122168200000
102-90100002816242316720000
91-100000013918252314610000
80-110001412212521114100
Total:79998888655433221110000000000