Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Lost to Astros 1336-1644, playoff odds down 15.2 to 26.1%
7-3   .700

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 -9.9
-1.0
-0.7
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -3.1
-0.2
-0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -1.7
-0.3
-0.1
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -0.6
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.4
-0.1
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 -0.4
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.4
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.2
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rays vs Indians-8.0+8.0
-0.9+0.9
-0.7+0.7
Braves vs Tigers+3.0-3.0
+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+1.3-1.3
+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1
Marlins vs Angels+0.8-0.8
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-0.8+0.8
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Astros vs Reds-0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.5-0.5
+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Mariners+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1811-0100.0%951030466,723
1710-199.980601304,387,532
169-298.449151332021,933,401
158-389.816174521000065,787,779
147-462.4276483250000131,573,479
136-522.401219422781000184,195,465
125-62.500021532301641000184,181,863
114-70.0000172030261330000131,590,643
103-80.00000292230241020065,783,510
92-9Out0003122633205021,930,766
81-10Out0001621392954,383,872
70-11Out0003215124466,187
Total:26.1%3321819151297532100816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxAstrosRed SoxTigersOriolesAngelsRangersBlue JaysRoyalsMarinersRaysYankeesTwinsAthletics
1811-012.2%9700020000000000
1710-111.78711171100000000
169-210.365322173311100000
158-38.637844286612210000
147-46.8141155348922311000
136-54.23844256721211000
125-61.1021172200100000
114-70.1000000000000000
103-80.000000000000000
7-9No
Total:3.3%8.44.82.42.415.43.64.00.90.91.40.40.30.10.10.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 +1.4
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 +0.1
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Rays vs Indians+1.3-1.3
Braves vs Tigers-0.2+0.2
Orioles vs Rockies+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Padres+0.1-0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1811-097300
1710-180181000
169-2424014200020
158-38253019710010000
147-4028161812513161000
136-500013685293014410000
125-60000124142426189300000
114-70000027152324178310000
103-8000002715232417820000
92-90001381825241561000
81-10000141324272092000
70-1100031123282211300
Total:24444332131198765433211100000000