St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Beat Rockies 1326-848, playoff odds up 1.8 to 68.8%
8-2   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +8.8
+1.0
+0.5
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -2.2
-0.4
-0.1
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -1.5
-0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -1.3
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.9
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.9
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.4
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Red Sox+8.9-8.8
+0.9-0.9
+0.5-0.5
Pirates vs Phillies-1.9+1.9
-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Mariners-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs+1.4-1.4
+0.4-0.4
+0.1-0.1
Mets vs White Sox-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Marlins vs Angels-0.4+0.4
-0.1+0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1911-0In1000466,621
1810-1In991004,388,162
179-2100.0%94401021,932,061
168-3100.07816160065,773,584
157-499.54531518100131,577,994
146-593.8132916366000184,189,659
135-668.61101938256000184,204,734
124-727.501101636278100131,583,559
113-84.500221536321110065,784,142
102-90.3000213343515200021,926,534
91-100.000011030381730004,387,733
80-11Out0172636226100466,437
Total:68.8%20151123149521000000816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCubsGiantsMetsPiratesPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsBravesPadresRockiesBrewers
1911-012.5%Yes
1810-112.5100000000000000
179-212.49900000000000000
168-312.19401011200000000
157-411.38112143611000000
146-59.958363971111000000
135-67.831410415101422000000
124-74.7113931481022000000
113-81.4213163311000000
102-90.1000010000000000
91-100.0000000000000
80-11No
Total:8.1%46.02.65.62.48.86.08.61.41.30.10.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -1.2
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.1
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals vs Red Sox-1.3+1.3
Pirates vs Phillies+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Mariners+0.1-0.1
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs-0.1+0.1
Orioles vs Rockies+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1911-09910
1810-194600
179-276222000
168-34041163000000
157-482633229200100
146-5031022282191510000
135-60002718261612116200000
124-70001819291719157210000
113-8000400151220231810410000
102-9000000015112024211241000
91-1000000151322262092000
80-11000310212824113000
Total:79999997444433221110000000000