Detroit Tigers Playoff Chances 2016 50/50

Beat Brewers 1351-887, playoff odds up 9.2 to 50.2%
8-2   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +9.5
+0.9
+0.6
Astros 1644 Indians 1336 +2.5
+0.1
+0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -1.8
-0.3
-0.1
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -0.6
-0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 +0.5
+0.1
+0.1
Blue Jays 1250 Angels 1424 -0.4
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 -0.4
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.4
-0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Braves vs Tigers-10.2+10.2
-0.9+0.9
-0.5+0.5
Rays vs Indians+2.9-2.9
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+1.3-1.3
+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.1
Marlins vs Angels+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Astros vs Reds-0.9+0.9
-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.8-0.8
+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals+0.6-0.6
+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.3+0.3
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks-0.3+0.3
Giants vs Mariners+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Tigers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1911-0In982465,840
1810-1100.0%9200704,386,401
179-2100.0783019021,935,206
168-399.550100391065,788,238
157-494.618153595000131,592,728
146-572.2275572440000184,189,651
135-629.8013264023610000184,185,669
124-74.000041832281441000131,571,256
113-80.10001822302411300065,782,708
102-90.000003102329221020021,931,561
91-10Out001413263120504,384,798
80-11Out00162138295467,164
Total:50.2%1052331812853210000816,681,220

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tigers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeWhite SoxAstrosRed SoxOriolesAngelsIndiansRangersBlue JaysRoyalsMarinersRaysYankeesTwinsAthletics
1911-012.4%98000000000000
1810-112.09301111200100000
179-211.38002223611200000
168-310.060144551322301000
157-48.536376892022411000
146-57.01558810112533511000
135-64.645768101922411000
124-71.4012233611100000
113-80.1000000100000000
102-90.0000000000000000
8-9No
Total:5.4%17.63.15.15.06.47.215.41.91.83.20.70.70.20.20.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -1.3
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 +0.1
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Braves vs Tigers+1.2-1.2
Rays vs Indians-0.1+0.1
Orioles vs Rockies+0.1-0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Mets vs White Sox-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1911-09910
1810-1946000
179-277222000
168-3404215300010
157-4826322082005000
146-5039182014612340000
135-6000148117292612300000
124-70000013516252516720000
113-80000038172323157200000
102-9000012816232316831000
91-1000002715222418930000
80-1100026152426187200
Total:799875421397543221110000000000